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在气候变化的背景下,气候的光谱颜色与田间种群的光谱颜色之间存在经验联系。

An empirical link between the spectral colour of climate and the spectral colour of field populations in the context of climate change.

机构信息

Imperial College London, Silwood Park Campus, SL5 7PY Ascot, UK.

出版信息

J Anim Ecol. 2011 Sep;80(5):1042-8. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2656.2011.01833.x. Epub 2011 Apr 5.

DOI:10.1111/j.1365-2656.2011.01833.x
PMID:21466552
Abstract
  1. The spectral colour of population dynamics and its causes have attracted much interest. The spectral colour of a time series can be determined from its power spectrum, which shows what proportion of the total variance in the time series occurs at each frequency. A time series with a red spectrum (a negative spectral exponent) is dominated by low-frequency oscillations, and a time series with a blue spectrum (a positive spectral exponent) is dominated by high-frequency oscillations. 2. Both climate variables and population time series are characterised by red spectra, suggesting that a population's environment might be partly responsible for its spectral colour. Laboratory experiments and models have been used to investigate this potential link. However, no study using field data has directly tested whether populations in redder environments are redder. 3. This study uses the Global Population Dynamics Database together with climate data to test for this effect. We found that the spectral exponent of mean summer temperatures correlates positively and significantly with population spectral exponent. 4. We also found that over the last century, temperature climate variables on most continents have become bluer. 5. Although population time series are not long or abundant enough to judge directly whether their spectral colours are changing, our two results taken together suggest that population spectral colour may be affected by the changing spectral colour of climate variables. Population spectral colour has been linked to extinction; we discuss the potential implications of our results for extinction probability.
摘要
  1. 种群动态的光谱颜色及其成因引起了广泛关注。时间序列的光谱颜色可以通过其功率谱来确定,功率谱显示了时间序列中每个频率的总方差的比例。具有红色光谱(负谱指数)的时间序列主要由低频振荡主导,而具有蓝色光谱(正谱指数)的时间序列主要由高频振荡主导。

  2. 气候变量和种群时间序列都具有红色光谱,这表明种群的环境可能部分解释了其光谱颜色。实验室实验和模型已被用于研究这种潜在的联系。然而,没有使用野外数据的研究直接测试过在更红环境中的种群是否更红。

  3. 本研究使用全球人口动态数据库和气候数据来检验这种效应。我们发现,夏季平均温度的谱指数与种群谱指数呈正相关且显著相关。

  4. 我们还发现,在上个世纪,大多数大陆的温度气候变量变得更蓝。

  5. 尽管人口时间序列不够长或丰富,无法直接判断其光谱颜色是否在发生变化,但我们的两个结果表明,人口光谱颜色可能受到气候变量光谱颜色变化的影响。人口光谱颜色与灭绝有关;我们讨论了我们的结果对灭绝概率的潜在影响。

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