Department of Viruses, Hormones and Cancer, Institute of Cancer Epidemiology, Danish Cancer Society, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Int J Cancer. 2012 Mar 1;130(5):1168-73. doi: 10.1002/ijc.26115. Epub 2011 May 30.
The aim of the study was to determine the incidences of anal cancer and high-grade anal intraepithelial neoplasia (AIN2/3) over time in Danish women and men. Describing the burden of anal cancer and AIN may be valuable in future evaluations of the human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine. We included all anal cancers in the Danish Cancer Register in the period 1978-2008 and all cases of AIN2/3 in the Danish Registry of Pathology. Overall and age-, period- and histology-specific incidence rates were estimated. During the 30-year period, 2,187 anal cancers were identified, two thirds of which were in women. Between 1978-1982 and 2003-2008, the age-standardized incidence rate of anal cancer increased from 0.68 to 1.48 per 100,000 person-years in women and from 0.45 to 0.80 per 100,000 person-years in men. Although there is no systematic screening for AIN in Denmark, we nevertheless identified 608 cases of AIN2/3 during the study period. The average annual percentage change of 5% between 1998 and 2008 represents a steep increase in the incidence of AIN in both genders. Furthermore, the incidence rate of HPV-associated anal cancers increased significantly, whereas that of non-HPV-associated histological types levelled out or even declined during the 30 years of observation. In women, the increase in HPV-associated cancers was more pronounced among those under 60 years of age. Our findings indicate that vaccines against HPV might play an important role in the prevention of anal cancer and its precursor lesions.
本研究旨在确定丹麦男女患肛门癌和高级别肛门上皮内瘤变(AIN2/3)的发病率随时间的变化。描述肛门癌和AIN 的负担可能有助于未来对人乳头瘤病毒(HPV)疫苗的评估。我们将丹麦癌症登记处 1978 年至 2008 年间所有肛门癌病例和丹麦病理登记处所有 AIN2/3 病例均纳入研究。估计了总体和年龄、时期及组织学特异性发病率。在 30 年期间,共发现 2187 例肛门癌,其中三分之二发生在女性中。1978-1982 年和 2003-2008 年期间,女性年龄标准化发病率从每 10 万人年 0.68 增至 1.48,男性从每 10 万人年 0.45 增至 0.80。尽管丹麦没有针对 AIN 的系统筛查,但我们仍在研究期间发现了 608 例 AIN2/3 病例。1998 年至 2008 年之间 5%的年平均百分比变化表明,AIN 的发病率在两性中均急剧增加。此外,HPV 相关肛门癌的发病率显著增加,而非 HPV 相关组织学类型的发病率在 30 年的观察期间趋于平稳甚至下降。在女性中,60 岁以下人群 HPV 相关癌症的增加更为明显。我们的研究结果表明,HPV 疫苗可能在预防肛门癌及其前体病变方面发挥重要作用。