Services in Health Economics, Rue des Eburons 55, 1000 Brussels, Belgium.
Eur J Health Econ. 2012 Aug;13(4):381-91. doi: 10.1007/s10198-011-0310-6. Epub 2011 Apr 12.
To determine the cost-effectiveness of adding eptifibatide to the standard treatment for selected high-risk patients undergoing coronary stenting in Germany. Furthermore, to investigate the impact of several extrapolation methods on the results.
A Markov model was developed to reflect the clinical events in this specific patient population, including target vessel revascularization, myocardial infarction, and death. To extrapolate clinical data beyond 1 year, a linear, an exponential, and a Weibull survival curves were estimated. Patient characteristics and transition probabilities were derived from a high-risk subgroup of the ESPRIT trial; patient-level utility data came from a published Dutch study. Costs were calculated from a hospital and from a third-party payer perspective.
For both perspectives, the additional treatment with eptifibatide is the considered dominant alternative. The incremental net benefit of its use exceeds €10,000 for both perspectives. Results proved stable in probabilistic sensitivity analysis as well as under the different extrapolation scenarios.
Eptifibatide is likely to be dominant strategy with 77.7 and 96.7% of the simulations leading to QALYs gained and generating cost savings from both the hospital and the third-party payer perspective. Eptifibatide offsets its additional treatment costs by avoiding costly repeat procedures and leads to positive QALY gains by preventing cardiovascular events lending themselves to transient or permanent lower quality of life. The method used to extrapolate the short-term risks did not impact on results, mainly due to similar clinical risk profiles between the two treatment groups in the long term.
在德国,确定为接受冠状动脉支架置入术的特定高危患者添加依替巴肽进行标准治疗的成本效益。此外,研究几种外推方法对结果的影响。
开发了一个马尔可夫模型来反映该特定患者人群的临床事件,包括靶血管血运重建、心肌梗死和死亡。为了将临床数据外推至 1 年以上,估计了线性、指数和威布尔生存曲线。患者特征和转移概率源自 ESPRIT 试验的高危亚组;患者水平的效用数据来自已发表的荷兰研究。从医院和第三方支付者的角度计算了成本。
对于两种观点,依替巴肽的额外治疗被认为是首选的治疗方案。从医院和第三方支付者的角度来看,其使用的增量净收益均超过 10,000 欧元。概率敏感性分析以及在不同外推情景下,结果均稳定。
依替巴肽很可能是一种主导策略,77.7%和 96.7%的模拟结果导致 QALYs 增加,并从医院和第三方支付者的角度节省成本。依替巴肽通过避免昂贵的重复手术来抵消其额外治疗成本,并通过预防心血管事件导致暂时或永久性的生活质量下降,从而带来正的 QALY 获益。用于外推短期风险的方法并未对结果产生影响,这主要是由于长期来看,两组治疗的临床风险特征相似。