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小儿肠套叠:超声与诊断性对比灌肠的成本效益比较。

Intussusception in children: cost-effectiveness of ultrasound vs diagnostic contrast enema.

机构信息

Division of Pediatric Surgery, Department of Surgery, Washington University School of Medicine, St Louis, MO 63110, USA.

出版信息

J Pediatr Surg. 2011 Jun;46(6):1099-105. doi: 10.1016/j.jpedsurg.2011.03.034.

Abstract

PURPOSE

The aim of the study was to compare the cost-effectiveness of different imaging strategies for the diagnosis of pediatric intussusception using a decision analytic model.

METHODS

A Markov decision model was constructed to model effects of radiation exposure at the time of intussusception in a hypothetical cohort of 2-year-old children. The 2 strategies compared were ultrasound followed conditionally by contrast enema (US/CE) vs contrast enema (CE) alone. The model simulated short-term and long-term outcomes of the patients, calculating the average quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and health care costs associated with each arm.

RESULTS

The use of ultrasound as a first-line diagnostic modality would result in a decrease of 79.3 and 59.7 cases of radiation-induced malignancy per 100,000 male and female children evaluated, respectively. For male and female children with intussusception, US/CE was both the most costly initial imaging strategy and the most effective compared with CE. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratios of US/CE to CE was $70,100 (boy) and $92,227 (girl) per quality-adjusted life years gained.

CONCLUSIONS

In a Markov decision model of pediatric acute intussusception, initial US/CE was both the most costly and the most effective strategy.

摘要

目的

本研究旨在使用决策分析模型比较小儿肠套叠不同影像学诊断策略的成本效益。

方法

构建了一个马尔可夫决策模型,以模拟在一个假设的 2 岁儿童队列中肠套叠时的辐射暴露对儿童的影响。比较的 2 种策略分别为超声后条件性对比灌肠(US/CE)与单独对比灌肠(CE)。该模型模拟了患者的短期和长期结局,计算了每个臂相关的平均质量调整生命年(QALY)和医疗保健成本。

结果

作为一线诊断方法,使用超声可使接受评估的每 10 万男童和女童的辐射诱发恶性肿瘤的病例数分别减少 79.3 和 59.7 例。对于患有肠套叠的男童和女童,与 CE 相比,US/CE 既是最昂贵的初始影像学策略,也是最有效的策略。与 CE 相比,US/CE 的增量成本效益比为每获得 1 个质量调整生命年分别为 70100 美元(男童)和 92227 美元(女童)。

结论

在小儿急性肠套叠的马尔可夫决策模型中,初始 US/CE 是最昂贵和最有效的策略。

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