Center for Southeast Asian Studies, University of California, Los Angeles, California 90064, USA.
Womens Health Issues. 2011 Nov-Dec;21(6):444-9. doi: 10.1016/j.whi.2011.04.031. Epub 2011 Jul 1.
Fertility intentions often can predict contraceptive demand and fertility outcomes. Little is known about women reporting ambivalent fertility intentions, who are usually classified as having an unmet need for contraception. This study's objectives were to determine 1) which fertility intention group ambivalent women more closely resemble and 2) whether ambivalent women seem to have an unmet contraceptive need.
We analyzed longitudinal data from 1,018 married Balinese women aged 15 to 45, of whom 33% desired more children, 52% wanted no more, and 14% were ambivalent. Ambivalent women were compared with those with definitive intentions using bivariate analyses. Regression analysis was used to determine the predictors of birth avoidance.
Although ambivalent women were significantly older, and had less education and more children than women who wanted more children, ambivalent women were more similar in their contraceptive use to those who wanted more children than those who wanted no more. However, in terms of birth outcomes, ambivalent women resembled more the women who intended to avoid childbearing: After 4 years, 33% of ambivalent women had another birth compared with 29% of women who wanted no more and 57% of women who desired more children. Contraceptive use at baseline did not predict ambivalent women's fertility outcomes, unlike the other groups.
Despite their relatively low rates of contraceptive use at baseline, ambivalent women generally avoided giving birth during the study period. This suggests that ambivalent women may not have a high unmet need for family planning.
生育意愿通常可以预测避孕需求和生育结果。对于具有矛盾生育意愿的女性,即通常被归类为避孕需求未得到满足的人群,我们知之甚少。本研究的目的是确定 1)矛盾生育意愿的女性更接近哪个生育意愿群体,以及 2)矛盾生育意愿的女性是否似乎存在未满足的避孕需求。
我们分析了来自 1018 名 15 至 45 岁已婚巴厘岛女性的纵向数据,其中 33%的女性希望生育更多孩子,52%的女性不希望再生育,14%的女性持矛盾态度。使用双变量分析比较矛盾生育意愿的女性与具有明确生育意愿的女性。回归分析用于确定避免生育的预测因素。
尽管矛盾生育意愿的女性年龄较大,受教育程度较低,子女较多,但与希望生育更多孩子的女性相比,矛盾生育意愿的女性在避孕措施的使用上更相似。然而,在生育结果方面,矛盾生育意愿的女性与那些打算避免生育的女性更为相似:4 年后,33%的矛盾生育意愿的女性再次生育,而不希望再生育的女性比例为 29%,希望生育更多孩子的女性比例为 57%。与其他两组不同的是,基线时的避孕措施使用情况并不能预测矛盾生育意愿的女性的生育结果。
尽管矛盾生育意愿的女性在基线时的避孕措施使用率相对较低,但她们在研究期间通常避免生育。这表明矛盾生育意愿的女性可能对计划生育的需求不高。