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基于非线性混合效应模型的比较药代动力学分析

[Comparative pharmacokinetic analysis based on nonlinear mixed effect model].

作者信息

Li Lu-jin, Li Xian-xing, Xu Ling, Lü Ying-hua, Chen Jun-chao, Zheng Qing-shan

机构信息

The Center for Drug Clinical Research, Shanghai University of Chinese Medicine, Shanghai, 201203, China.

出版信息

Yao Xue Xue Bao. 2011 Apr;46(4):447-53.

Abstract

Comparative pharmacokinetic (PK) analysis is often carried out throughout the entire period of drug development, the common approach for the assessment of pharmacokinetics between different treatments requires that the individual PK parameters, which employs estimation of 90% confidence intervals for the ratio of average parameters, such as AUC and Cmax, these 90% confidence intervals then need to be compared with the pre-specified equivalent interval, and last we determine whether the two treatments are equivalent. Unfortunately in many clinical circumstances, some or even all of the individuals can only be sparsely sampled, making the individual evaluation difficult by the conventional non-compartmental analysis. In such cases, nonlinear mixed effect model (NONMEM) could be applied to analyze the sparse data. In this article, we simulated a sparsely sampling design trial based on the dense sampling data from a truly comparative PK study. The sparse data were analyzed with NONMEM method, and the original dense data were analyzed with non-compartment analysis. Although the trial design and analysis methods are different, the 90% confidence intervals for the ratio of PK parameters based on 1000 Bootstrap are very similar, indicated that the analysis based on NONMEM is a reliable method to treat with the sparse data in the comparative pharmacokinetic study.

摘要

比较药代动力学(PK)分析通常在药物研发的整个过程中进行,评估不同治疗方法之间药代动力学的常用方法要求采用个体PK参数,即对平均参数(如AUC和Cmax)的比值估计90%置信区间,然后将这些90%置信区间与预先指定的等效区间进行比较,最后确定两种治疗方法是否等效。不幸的是,在许多临床情况下,部分甚至所有个体只能进行稀疏采样,这使得通过传统的非房室分析进行个体评估变得困难。在这种情况下,可以应用非线性混合效应模型(NONMEM)来分析稀疏数据。在本文中,我们基于一项真正的比较PK研究的密集采样数据模拟了一个稀疏采样设计试验。用NONMEM方法分析稀疏数据,用非房室分析方法分析原始密集数据。尽管试验设计和分析方法不同,但基于1000次自抽样得到的PK参数比值的90%置信区间非常相似,这表明在比较药代动力学研究中,基于NONMEM的分析是处理稀疏数据的可靠方法。

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