Columbia University, New York State Psychiatric Institute, New York, USA.
Am J Psychiatry. 2011 Oct;168(10):1050-6. doi: 10.1176/appi.ajp.2011.11010163. Epub 2011 Jul 18.
Bipolar disorder is associated with high risk for suicidal acts. Observational studies suggest a protective effect of lithium against suicidal behavior. However, testing this effect in randomized clinical trials is logistically and ethically challenging. The authors tested the hypothesis that lithium offers bipolar patients with a history of suicide attempt greater protection against suicidal behavior compared to valproate.
Patients with bipolar disorder and past suicide attempts (N=98) were randomly assigned to treatment with lithium or valproate, plus adjunctive medications as indicated, in a double-blind 2.5-year trial. An intent-to-treat analysis was performed using the log-rank test for survival data. Two models were fitted: time to suicide attempt and time to suicide event (attempt or hospitalization or change in medication in response to suicide plans).
There were 45 suicide events in 35 participants, including 18 suicide attempts made by 14 participants, six from the lithium group and eight from the valproate group. There were no suicides. Intent-to-treat analysis using the log-rank test showed no differences between treatment groups in time to suicide attempt or to suicide event. Post hoc power calculations revealed that the modest sample size, reflective of challenges in recruitment, only permits detection of a relative risk of 5 or greater.
Despite the high frequency of suicide events during the study, this randomized controlled trial detected no difference between lithium and valproate in time to suicide attempt or suicide event in a sample of suicide attempters with bipolar disorder. However, smaller clinically significant differences between the two drugs were not ruled out.
双相情感障碍与自杀行为的高风险相关。观察性研究表明,锂对自杀行为具有保护作用。然而,在随机临床试验中检验这种效果在操作上和伦理上都具有挑战性。作者检验了这样一个假设,即与丙戊酸相比,锂能为有自杀企图史的双相情感障碍患者提供更大的保护,以防止自杀行为。
在一项为期 2.5 年的双盲试验中,将有双相情感障碍和既往自杀企图史的患者(N=98)随机分配接受锂或丙戊酸治疗,并根据需要附加药物治疗。使用对数秩检验对生存数据进行意向治疗分析。拟合了两种模型:自杀企图的时间和自杀事件的时间(自杀企图、住院或因自杀计划而改变药物治疗)。
35 名参与者中有 45 起自杀事件,包括 14 名参与者中的 18 次自杀企图,锂组 6 次,丙戊酸组 8 次。没有自杀事件。意向治疗分析使用对数秩检验显示,治疗组在自杀企图时间或自杀事件时间上无差异。事后功效计算显示,适度的样本量,反映了招募的挑战,仅允许检测到相对风险为 5 或更高。
尽管在研究期间自杀事件的频率很高,但这项随机对照试验在有双相情感障碍自杀企图史的患者样本中,没有发现锂和丙戊酸在自杀企图或自杀事件时间上的差异。然而,两种药物之间较小的临床显著差异并未被排除。