Environ Toxicol Pharmacol. 1996 Oct 15;2(2-3):171-5. doi: 10.1016/S1382-6689(96)00050-6.
Ozone is a common photochemical air pollutant which is present in the ambient air of many urban areas at concentrations sufficient to produce acute respiratory effects in humans. Because individuals vary considerably in the magnitude of their responses to ozone exposure, it is difficult to estimate the number of individuals in a given population who are experiencing adverse effects. Consequently risk and benefits analysis for various regulatory scenarios cannot be carried out with precision. As an aid to risk assessment this paper presents a method of predicting the proportion of individuals in the population who experience a particular health effect. Risk equations predicting the proportion of individuals experiencing lung function decrements as a function of ozone concentration, duration of exposure, and age are presented.
臭氧是一种常见的光化学空气污染物，存在于许多城市地区的环境空气中，浓度足以对人类产生急性呼吸道影响。由于个体对臭氧暴露的反应程度差异很大，因此很难估计特定人群中出现不良反应的个体数量。因此，对于各种监管情况的风险和效益分析无法精确进行。为了帮助风险评估，本文提出了一种预测人群中出现特定健康影响的个体比例的方法。本文提出了预测个体因臭氧浓度、暴露时间和年龄而导致肺功能下降比例的风险方程。
