Division of Epidemiology, Statistics and Prevention Research, Eunice Kennedy Shriver NICHD/NIH/HHS, 6100 Executive Blvd, Rockville, MD 20852-7510, USA.
Matern Child Health J. 2011 Dec;15 Suppl 1(Suppl 1):S85-95. doi: 10.1007/s10995-011-0856-z.
This study investigates the relationship between adverse pregnancy outcomes in high-risk African American women in Washington, DC and sociodemographic risk factors, behavioral risk factors, and the most common and interrelated medical conditions occurring during pregnancy: diabetes, hypertension, preeclampsia, and Body Mass Index (BMI). Data are from a randomized controlled trial conducted in 6 prenatal clinics. Women in their 1st or 2nd trimester were screened for behavioral risks (smoking, environmental tobacco smoke exposure, depression, and intimate partner violence) and demographic eligibility. 1,044 were eligible, interviewed and followed through their pregnancies. Classification and Regression Trees (CART) methodology was used to: (1) explore the relationship between medical and behavioral risks (reported at enrollment), sociodemographic factors and pregnancy outcomes; (2) identify the relative importance of various predictors of adverse pregnancy outcomes; and (3) characterize women at the highest risk of poor pregnancy outcomes. The strongest predictors of poor outcomes were prepregnancy BMI, preconceptional diabetes, employment status, intimate partner violence, and depression. In CART analysis, preeclampsia was the first splitter for low birthweight; preconceptional diabetes was the first splitter for preterm birth (PTB) and neonatal intensive care admission; BMI was the first splitter for very PTB, large for gestational age, Cesarean section and perinatal death; employment was the first splitter for miscarriage. Preconceptional factors strongly influence pregnancy outcomes. For many of these women, the high risks they brought into pregnancy were more likely to impact their pregnancy outcomes than events during pregnancy.
本研究调查了华盛顿特区高危非裔美国女性的不良妊娠结局与社会人口学风险因素、行为风险因素以及怀孕期间最常见和相互关联的医疗状况(糖尿病、高血压、先兆子痫和体重指数(BMI))之间的关系。数据来自在 6 家产前诊所进行的随机对照试验。在妊娠的第 1 或第 2 期对女性进行行为风险(吸烟、环境烟草烟雾暴露、抑郁和亲密伴侣暴力)和人口统计学资格筛查。1044 名女性符合条件,接受了访谈并在整个妊娠期间得到了随访。分类回归树(CART)方法用于:(1)探索医疗和行为风险(在入组时报告)、社会人口学因素与妊娠结局之间的关系;(2)确定不良妊娠结局的各种预测因素的相对重要性;(3)描述妊娠结局不良风险最高的女性特征。不良结局的最强预测因素是孕前 BMI、孕前糖尿病、就业状况、亲密伴侣暴力和抑郁。在 CART 分析中,先兆子痫是低出生体重的第一个分裂器;孕前糖尿病是早产(PTB)和新生儿重症监护入院的第一个分裂器;BMI 是极早产、大于胎龄、剖宫产和围产儿死亡的第一个分裂器;就业是流产的第一个分裂器。孕前因素强烈影响妊娠结局。对于许多这些女性来说,她们在妊娠前带来的高风险更有可能影响她们的妊娠结局,而不是妊娠期间的事件。