Ritzwoller Debra P, Sukhanova Anna, Beck Arne L, Bergman David
Institute of HealthResearch at Kaiser Permanente Colorado in Denver, CO, USA.
Perm J. 2011 Spring;15(2):15-22. doi: 10.7812/TPP/10-158.
Current pediatric well-child care (WCC) may be inefficient and inadequate with respect to primary care physicians' abilities to deliver prescribed preventive and developmental services. New Internet-related technologies may improve the efficiency and effectiveness of WCC. This article examines the potential resource cost implications associated with a change in the delivery model of WCC in a capitated, integrated managed care system.
Decision analyses and Monte Carlo simulations were used to estimate the variation in resource costs between the current WCC model and a high-performance WCC model, stratifying by age, risk level, and the proportion of pediatric members that may not seek WCC.
Demographic and health care utilization data associated with 14,910 pediatric enrollees, ages newborn to 5 years, enrolled at Kaiser Permanente Colorado were used to simulate the change in costs attributable to a change in the model of WCC.
Simulation models and sensitivity analyses suggest that the implementation of the high-performance WCC model is likely to be relatively resource cost neutral in a managed care system.
Preliminary findings suggest that implementation of innovative changes in WCC may allow for efficient reallocation of resources to higher-risk children in a relatively cost neutral manner. However, innovative changes that involve the use of unreimbursed non-face-to-face encounters and nonphysician health care professionals may present challenges with respect to implementation of a new model of WCC in a fee-for-service environment.
就初级保健医生提供规定的预防和发育服务的能力而言,当前的儿科健康儿童保健(WCC)可能效率低下且不够充分。新的互联网相关技术可能会提高WCC的效率和效果。本文探讨了在按人头付费的综合管理式医疗系统中,WCC服务模式改变所带来的潜在资源成本影响。
采用决策分析和蒙特卡洛模拟来估计当前WCC模式与高性能WCC模式之间资源成本的差异,按年龄、风险水平以及可能不寻求WCC服务的儿科成员比例进行分层。
利用科罗拉多州凯撒医疗集团登记的14910名新生儿至5岁儿科参保者的人口统计学和医疗保健利用数据,模拟WCC模式改变导致的成本变化。
模拟模型和敏感性分析表明,在管理式医疗系统中实施高性能WCC模式可能在资源成本方面相对保持中立。
初步研究结果表明,在WCC中实施创新性变革可能会以相对成本中立的方式,将资源高效重新分配给高风险儿童。然而,在按服务收费的环境中,涉及使用未报销的非面对面诊疗以及非医生医疗保健专业人员的创新性变革,在实施新的WCC模式方面可能会面临挑战。