Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Food, Kildare Street, Dublin 2, Ireland.
Ir Vet J. 2009 Sep 1;62(9):597-606. doi: 10.1186/2046-0481-62-9-597.
A simple random survey was conducted in Ireland during 2005 to estimate the ELISA-prevalence of paratuberculosis, commonly called Johne's disease (JD), in the cattle population. Serum samples were collected from all 20,322 females/breeding bulls over 12 months-of-age in 639 herds. All samples were tested using a commercially available absorbed ELISA. The overall prevalence of infected herds, based on the presence of at least one ELISA-positive animal, was 21.4% (95% CI 18.4%-24.9%). Herd prevalence levels amongst dairy herds (mean 31.5%; 95% CI: 24.6%, 39.3%) was higher than among beef herds (mean 17.9%; 95% CI: 14.6%-21.8%). However, the animal level prevalence was similar. The true prevalence among all animals tested, was calculated to be 2.86% (95%CI: 2.76, 2.97) and for animals >= 2 yrs, it was 3.30% (95%CI: 3.17, 3.43). For animals in beef herds, true prevalence was 3.09% (95%CI: 2.93, 3.24), and for those in dairy herds, 2.74% (95%CI: 2.59, 2.90). The majority of herds had only one ELISA-positive infected animal. Only 6.4% (95% CI 4.7%-8.7%) of all herds had more than one ELISA-positive infected animal; 13.3% (CI 8.7%-19.7%) of dairy herds ranging from two to eight ELISA-positive infected animals; and, 3.9% beef herds (CI 2.4%-6.2%) ranging from two to five ELISA-positive infected animals. The true prevalence of herds infected and shedding Mycobacterium avium subspecies paratuberculosis is estimated to be 9.5% for all herd types; 20.6% for dairy herds; and 7.6% for beef herds. If ELISA positive animals <2-years-of-age are excluded, the true herd prevalene reduces to: 9.3% for all herd types; 19.6% for dairy herds; and 6.3% for beef herds based on a test specificity (Sp) of 99.8% and test sensitivity (Se) (i.e., ability to detect culture-positive, infected animals shedding at any level) of 27.8-28.9%.
2005 年在爱尔兰进行了一项简单的随机调查,以估计牛群中普遍称为约翰氏病(JD)的副结核病的 ELISA 流行率。从 639 个牛群中采集了所有 20,322 头 12 个月以上的雌性/繁殖公牛的血清样本。所有样本均使用市售的吸收 ELISA 进行检测。根据至少有一只 ELISA 阳性动物的存在,感染牛群的总体流行率为 21.4%(95%CI 18.4%-24.9%)。奶牛群的畜群流行率水平(平均 31.5%;95%CI:24.6%,39.3%)高于肉牛群(平均 17.9%;95%CI:14.6%-21.8%)。然而,动物水平的流行率相似。所有测试动物的真实流行率计算为 2.86%(95%CI:2.76,2.97),2 岁以上动物的流行率为 3.30%(95%CI:3.17,3.43)。肉牛群的真实流行率为 3.09%(95%CI:2.93,3.24),奶牛群的真实流行率为 2.74%(95%CI:2.59,2.90)。大多数牛群只有一只 ELISA 阳性感染动物。只有 6.4%(95%CI 4.7%-8.7%)的牛群有超过一只 ELISA 阳性感染动物;13.3%(CI 8.7%-19.7%)的奶牛群有 2 至 8 只 ELISA 阳性感染动物;3.9%(CI 2.4%-6.2%)的肉牛群有 2 至 5 只 ELISA 阳性感染动物。所有畜群类型感染和排出禽分枝杆菌副结核亚种的真实流行率估计为 9.5%;奶牛群为 20.6%;肉牛群为 7.6%。如果排除 <2 岁的 ELISA 阳性动物,则真实畜群患病率降低至:所有畜群类型为 9.3%;奶牛群为 19.6%;肉牛群为 6.3%,基于 99.8%的测试特异性(Sp)和 27.8-28.9%的测试灵敏度(Se)(即检测任何水平下培养阳性、感染动物的能力)。