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废弃物管理的多系统建模。

Multiple system modelling of waste management.

机构信息

Profu i Göteborg AB, Götaforsliden 13 Nedre, SE 431 34 Mölndal, Sweden.

出版信息

Waste Manag. 2011 Dec;31(12):2620-30. doi: 10.1016/j.wasman.2011.07.007. Epub 2011 Aug 19.

Abstract

Due to increased environmental awareness, planning and performance of waste management has become more and more complex. Therefore waste management has early been subject to different types of modelling. Another field with long experience of modelling and systems perspective is energy systems. The two modelling traditions have developed side by side, but so far there are very few attempts to combine them. Waste management systems can be linked together with energy systems through incineration plants. The models for waste management can be modelled on a quite detailed level whereas surrounding systems are modelled in a more simplistic way. This is a problem, as previous studies have shown that assumptions on the surrounding system often tend to be important for the conclusions. In this paper it is shown how two models, one for the district heating system (MARTES) and another one for the waste management system (ORWARE), can be linked together. The strengths and weaknesses with model linking are discussed when compared to simplistic assumptions on effects in the energy and waste management systems. It is concluded that the linking of models will provide a more complete, correct and credible picture of the consequences of different simultaneous changes in the systems. The linking procedure is easy to perform and also leads to activation of project partners. However, the simulation procedure is a bit more complicated and calls for the ability to run both models.

摘要

由于环境意识的提高,废物管理的规划和绩效变得越来越复杂。因此,废物管理很早就成为了不同类型建模的主题。另一个具有长期建模和系统观点经验的领域是能源系统。这两种建模传统是并行发展的,但迄今为止,很少有尝试将它们结合起来的。废物管理系统可以通过焚烧厂与能源系统连接起来。废物管理模型可以在相当详细的水平上建模,而周围的系统则以更简化的方式建模。这是一个问题,因为之前的研究表明,对周围系统的假设往往对结论很重要。在本文中,展示了如何将两个模型(一个用于区域供热系统(MARTES),另一个用于废物管理系统(ORWARE))连接起来。与能源和废物管理系统中对影响的简化假设相比,讨论了模型连接的优缺点。结论是,模型的连接将为系统中不同同时变化的后果提供更完整、正确和可信的图景。链接过程易于执行,并且还可以激活项目合作伙伴。然而,模拟过程稍微复杂一些,需要能够运行这两个模型。

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