Department of Neurology, Vivantes Klinikum im Friedrichshain, Berlin, Germany.
Neurology. 2011 Sep 6;77(10):965-72. doi: 10.1212/WNL.0b013e31822dc795. Epub 2011 Aug 24.
To determine the extent that demographics, clinical characteristics, comorbidities, and complications contribute to the risk of in-hospital mortality and morbidity in acute stroke.
Data of consecutive patients admitted to 14 stroke units cooperating within the Berlin Stroke Register were analyzed. The association of demographics, clinical characteristics, comorbidities, and complications with the risk of in-hospital death and poor outcome at discharge was assessed, and independent attributable risks were calculated, applying average sequential attributable fractions.
In a 3-year period, 16,518 consecutive patients with ischemic or hemorrhagic stroke were documented. In-hospital mortality was 5.4%, and 45.7% had a poor outcome (modifed Rankin Scale score ≥3). In patients with length of stay (LOS) ≤7 days, 37.5% of in-hospital deaths were attributed to stroke severity, 23.1% to sociodemographics (age and prestroke disability), and 28.9% to increased intracranial pressure (iICP) and other complications. In those with LOS >7 days, age and stroke severity accounted for 44.1%, whereas pneumonia (12.2%), other complications (12.6%), and iICP (8.3%) contributed to one-third of in-hospital deaths. For poor outcome, attributable risks were similar for prestroke disability, stroke severity, pneumonia, and other complications regardless of the patient's LOS.
Approximately two-thirds of early death and poor outcome in acute stroke is attributed to nonmodifiable predictors, whereas main modifiable factors are early complications such as iICP, pneumonia, or other complications, on which stroke unit treatment should focus to further improve the prognosis of acute stroke.
确定人口统计学因素、临床特征、合并症和并发症对急性脑卒中住院患者死亡率和发病率的影响程度。
分析了参与柏林卒中登记处的 14 个卒中单元连续收治的患者数据。评估了人口统计学因素、临床特征、合并症和并发症与住院期间死亡和出院时不良结局的风险之间的关系,并应用平均序贯归因分数计算了独立的归因风险。
在 3 年期间,共记录了 16518 例缺血性或出血性卒中患者。住院死亡率为 5.4%,45.7%的患者出院时预后不良(改良 Rankin 量表评分≥3)。在住院时间≤7 天的患者中,37.5%的住院死亡归因于卒中严重程度,23.1%归因于社会人口统计学因素(年龄和卒中前残疾),28.9%归因于颅内压升高(iICP)和其他并发症。在住院时间>7 天的患者中,年龄和卒中严重程度占 44.1%,而肺炎(12.2%)、其他并发症(12.6%)和 iICP(8.3%)占三分之一的住院死亡。对于不良结局,无论患者的住院时间长短,卒中前残疾、卒中严重程度、肺炎和其他并发症的归因风险都相似。
急性卒中早期死亡和不良结局的约三分之二归因于不可改变的预测因素,而主要的可改变因素是 iICP、肺炎或其他并发症等早期并发症,卒中单元治疗应重点关注这些并发症,以进一步改善急性卒中的预后。