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儿童土壤摄入的平衡研究的荟萃分析。

Meta-analysis of mass-balance studies of soil ingestion in children.

机构信息

Division of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, Department of Public Health, School of Public Health and Health Sciences, University of Massachusetts at Amherst, Amherst, MA, USA.

出版信息

Risk Anal. 2012 Mar;32(3):433-47. doi: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2011.01673.x. Epub 2011 Aug 29.

Abstract

Ingestion of soil by young children may be an important source of exposure to environmental contaminants. Estimates of soil ingestion have been made by several studies using trace elements in a mass-balance approach, but differ substantially between studies and trace elements. We conduct a meta-analysis of four major mass-balance soil ingestion studies conducted on children between one and seven in the summer/fall in the northern United States. The analysis takes advantage of primary data from all studies, and provides a more complete description of soil ingestion among children. The meta-analysis uses data based on the two most reliable trace elements, Al and Si, that have passed a screening to identify and exclude measures with a high likelihood of bias. Details are described in a companion paper. The best linear unbiased predictor is used in a mixed model to estimate soil ingestion for study subjects. Overall, 11% of subject-periods are identified as outliers and excluded from the analysis. An analysis on 216 children based on Al and Si as tracer elements indicates that the mean (median) soil ingestion is 26 mg/day (33 mg/day), with the 95th percentile estimated as 79 mg/day. This systematic approach provides more reliable estimates than individual study results. There is some evidence that soil ingestion increases with a child's age, but insufficient data to distinguish soil ingestion by gender.

摘要

儿童吞食土壤可能是接触环境污染物的一个重要来源。已有多项研究采用质量平衡法中的微量元素来估算土壤摄入量,但不同研究和微量元素之间的差异很大。我们对在美国北部夏季/秋季进行的 4 项针对 1 至 7 岁儿童的主要质量平衡土壤摄入研究进行了荟萃分析。该分析利用了所有研究的原始数据,更全面地描述了儿童的土壤摄入量。荟萃分析使用了基于两种最可靠的微量元素(铝和硅)的数据,这些数据通过筛选以识别和排除存在高偏倚可能性的测量值。详细信息在一篇配套论文中进行了描述。最佳线性无偏预测值(BLUP)被用于混合模型,以估算研究对象的土壤摄入量。总体而言,11%的个体时段被确定为异常值并从分析中排除。基于 Al 和 Si 作为示踪元素对 216 名儿童进行的分析表明,平均(中位数)土壤摄入量为 26 毫克/天(33 毫克/天),95%的摄入量估计为 79 毫克/天。这种系统方法提供了比个别研究结果更可靠的估计。有一些证据表明,随着儿童年龄的增长,土壤摄入量会增加,但数据不足以区分性别之间的土壤摄入量。

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