Center for Reproductive Medicine, Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Academic Medical Centre, Meibergdreef 9, 1105 AZ Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Hum Reprod. 2011 Nov;26(11):3054-60. doi: 10.1093/humrep/der284. Epub 2011 Sep 6.
The average age of women bearing their first child has increased strongly. This is an important reproductive health problem as fertility declines with increasing female age. Unfortunately, IVF using fresh oocytes cannot compensate for this age-related fertility decline. Oocyte freezing could be a solution.
We used the Markov model to estimate the cost-effectiveness of three strategies for 35-year-old women who want to postpone pregnancy till the age of 40: Strategy 1: women undergo three cycles of ovarian hyperstimulation at age 35 for oocyte freezing, then at age 40, use these frozen oocytes for IVF; Strategy 2: women at age 40 attempt to conceive without treatment; and the reference strategy: women at age 40 attempt to conceive and, if not pregnant after 1 year, undergo IVF. Sensitivity analyses were carried out to investigate assumptions of the model and to identify which model inputs had most impact on the results.
Oocyte freezing (Strategy 1) resulted in a live birth rate of 84.5% at an average cost of €10,419. Natural conception (Strategy 2) resulted in a live birth rate of 52.3% at an average cost of €310 per birth. IVF (the reference strategy) resulted in a cumulative live birth rate of 64.6% at an average cost of €7798. The cost per additional live birth for the oocyte freezing strategy was €13,156 compared to the IVF strategy. If at least 61% of the women return to collect their oocytes, and if there is a willingness to pay €19,560 extra per additional live birth, the oocyte freezing strategy is the most cost-effective strategy.
Oocyte freezing is more cost effective compared to IVF, if at least 61% of the women return to collect their oocytes and if one is willing to pay €19,560 extra per additional live birth. Our Markov model shows that, considering all the used assumptions, oocyte freezing provides more value for money than IVF.
女性初次生育的平均年龄大幅提高。随着女性年龄的增长,生育能力下降,这是一个重要的生殖健康问题。不幸的是,新鲜卵母细胞的 IVF 无法弥补这种与年龄相关的生育能力下降。卵母细胞冷冻保存可能是一种解决方案。
我们使用马尔可夫模型来估计三种策略对希望将怀孕推迟到 40 岁的 35 岁女性的成本效益:策略 1:女性在 35 岁时进行三次卵巢过度刺激以冷冻卵母细胞,然后在 40 岁时使用这些冷冻卵母细胞进行 IVF;策略 2:女性在 40 岁时不接受治疗尝试受孕;参考策略:女性在 40 岁时尝试受孕,如果 1 年后未怀孕,则进行 IVF。进行了敏感性分析,以调查模型的假设,并确定对结果影响最大的模型输入。
卵母细胞冷冻保存(策略 1)的活产率为 84.5%,平均成本为 10419 欧元。自然受孕(策略 2)的活产率为 52.3%,平均每个出生的成本为 310 欧元。IVF(参考策略)的累积活产率为 64.6%,平均成本为 7798 欧元。与 IVF 策略相比,卵母细胞冷冻保存策略的每增加一个活产的成本为 13156 欧元。如果至少 61%的女性返回取卵,如果愿意额外支付每个额外活产 19560 欧元,那么卵母细胞冷冻保存策略是最具成本效益的策略。
如果至少 61%的女性返回取卵,并且愿意额外支付每个额外活产 19560 欧元,那么与 IVF 相比,卵母细胞冷冻保存更具成本效益。我们的马尔可夫模型表明,考虑到所有使用的假设,卵母细胞冷冻保存比 IVF 提供更多的价值。