Health Sector Management Program and Strategy Area, Fuqua School of Business, Duke University, USA.
Med Care. 2012 Jan;50(1):18-26. doi: 10.1097/MLR.0b013e3182294a20.
Planned health insurance reform promises and has started to cut reimbursement to Medicare managed care (MMC) plans. If such plans provide better care, adjusting for possible better health of their enrollees, then such reimbursement changes may have unforeseen quality consequences.
To examine whether long-term follow-up outcomes of patients who receive intensive interventional care for coronary artery disease differed by Medicare plan type.
Patient-level postdischarge outcomes were multivariate adjusted logistic functions of a patient's insurance type at time of index admission. Data were retrospective secondary percutaneous coronary intervention data from Pennsylvania with 35,417 index admissions in 2004 to 2005 and in-state follow-up hospitalizations within 12 months and in-state death within 3 years of discharge.
MMC insured patients had a consistently estimated 3-year survival benefit (relative risk of death 0.91; P value 0.003) compared with traditional Medicare traditional fee for service patients. Results were robust to propensity score stratification, subset analyses, and rich controls for observed confounders. Implausibly large associations (between an unmeasured confounder and both insurance status and outcomes) would have to be hypothesized to fully explain the observed survival benefit.
Among a large number of Pennsylvanian elderly patients, receiving a very common therapeutic procedure for highly prevalent disease, being insured with MMC was associated with a clinically meaningful long-term survival benefit. Impending health insurance reform that changes the relative attractiveness of MMC plans may have unintended consequences on outcome quality.
计划中的医疗保险改革承诺并已开始削减对医疗保险管理式医疗(MMC)计划的报销。如果这些计划提供了更好的护理,考虑到其参保人的健康状况可能更好,那么这种报销变化可能会产生意想不到的质量后果。
研究接受冠状动脉疾病强化介入治疗的患者的长期随访结果是否因医疗保险计划类型而异。
患者出院后结局的多变量调整逻辑函数是患者指数入院时保险类型的函数。数据来自宾夕法尼亚州的回顾性经皮冠状动脉介入治疗数据,2004 年至 2005 年有 35417 例指数入院,出院后 12 个月内在州内进行住院治疗,3 年内在州内死亡。
与传统医疗保险传统按服务收费的患者相比,MMC 保险患者的 3 年生存率估计有持续获益(死亡相对风险 0.91;P 值<0.003)。结果在倾向评分分层、亚组分析和丰富的观察性混杂因素控制下是稳健的。需要假设一个不合理的大关联(未测量的混杂因素与保险状况和结局之间)才能完全解释观察到的生存获益。
在宾夕法尼亚州的大量老年患者中,接受一种非常常见的治疗方法治疗高度流行的疾病,接受 MMC 保险与有临床意义的长期生存获益相关。即将进行的医疗保险改革改变了 MMC 计划的相对吸引力,可能会对结果质量产生意想不到的后果。