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弯曲杆菌病发病率呈现与年龄相关的静态双峰和季节性趋势。

Campylobacteriosis rates show age-related static bimodal and seasonality trends.

作者信息

Nelson Warrick, Harris Ben

机构信息

Christchurch, New Zealand.

出版信息

N Z Med J. 2011 Jun 24;124(1337):33-9.

Abstract

AIM

Campylobacteriosis is highly characterised by a strongly seasonal rate of incidence. Age is also known to be a risk factor for sporadic campylobacteriosis, but little has been done to quantify age-related rates of campylobacteriosis. This study investigates age-related incidence across countries and up to 12 years of data, as well as differences in seasonality within age groups.

METHODS

Graphical and statistical analysis of officially collected campylobacteriosis reports from three countries available from official websites.

RESULTS

For Australia, New Zealand and Canada, rates of campylobacteriosis show marked peaks at <4 years and 20-29 year age bands. These peaks indicate that stable age-related factors impact on campylobacteriosis epidemiology in all three countries. Seasonality is expressed differently across these age bands, and in years of extremes of incidence.

CONCLUSION

Campylobacteriosis is highly seasonal, but overlying this is a stable age-related pattern of incidence, with two peaks approximately 20 years apart. Highest seasonal differences occur with ages between the two peaks.

摘要

目的

弯曲杆菌病的一个显著特征是发病率具有强烈的季节性。年龄也是散发性弯曲杆菌病的一个风险因素,但在量化与年龄相关的弯曲杆菌病发病率方面所做的工作很少。本研究调查了不同国家长达12年的数据中与年龄相关的发病率,以及各年龄组内季节性的差异。

方法

对从官方网站获取的三个国家官方收集的弯曲杆菌病报告进行图形和统计分析。

结果

在澳大利亚、新西兰和加拿大,弯曲杆菌病发病率在4岁以下和20 - 29岁年龄组出现明显高峰。这些高峰表明,与年龄相关的稳定因素对这三个国家的弯曲杆菌病流行病学产生影响。季节性在这些年龄组以及发病率极端的年份中表现不同。

结论

弯曲杆菌病具有高度季节性,但在此之上是一种与年龄相关的稳定发病模式,有两个相隔约20年的高峰。两个高峰之间的年龄组季节性差异最大。

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