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报告中英国连续家庭调查中未生育子女的误差源。

Sources of error in reported childlessness in a continuous British household survey.

机构信息

Centre for Population Change, School of Social Sciences, University of Southampton, Southampton SO17 1BJ, UK.

出版信息

Popul Stud (Camb). 2011 Nov;65(3):305-18. doi: 10.1080/00324728.2011.607901. Epub 2011 Oct 18.

Abstract

A recent investigation of the British General Household Survey (GHS) found substantial over-reporting of childlessness in recent years, particularly at older ages. We examine the phenomenon in further detail and find that the principal cause was change in survey procedures. To some extent the bias can be corrected for by using information on own children in the household. Revised fertility histories give period estimates of total fertility that are in close agreement with national vital registration statistics, unlike those based on original fertility histories of recent years. Misreporting in fertility histories dates primarily from administrative changes in the GHS in the years 1998-2000, and particularly from 2003, when the option of laptop self-completion (CASI) was introduced for reporting demographic histories.

摘要

最近对英国综合家庭调查(GHS)的一项调查发现,近年来儿童出生率有大量的虚报,尤其是在年龄较大时。我们进一步详细研究了这一现象,发现主要原因是调查程序的变化。在某种程度上,可以通过使用家庭中自有子女的信息来纠正这种偏差。经修订的生育史给出了总生育率的时期估计值,这些估计值与国家生命登记统计数据非常吻合,与基于近年来原始生育史的估计值不同。生育史中的错误报告主要源于 GHS 在 1998-2000 年期间的行政变更,尤其是自 2003 年开始引入笔记本电脑自我完成(CASI)报告人口历史的选项以来。

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