Popul Stud (Camb). 2002 Jan;56(1):23-34. doi: 10.1080/00324720213798.
This paper proposes a reformulation of the general growth balance method for estimating census and registration completeness so as to make it applicable even to populations that are affected by migration. It also discusses a new procedure of line fitting that could be useful in countries where the input data are severely affected by age misreporting. The method is applicable to countries where data on age distribution of the population are available for two points in time from either censuses or surveys. Following closely the original proposal of Brass, it involves adjusting the 'partial' birth rates for age-specific disturbances from growth and migration rates. Beyond correcting the death rates, the method is useful in inferring the relative completeness of the censuses, and in deriving a robust estimate of birth rate under certain conditions. The application of the method is illustrated using the example of the male population of the Indian state of Uttar Pradesh for the period 1981 to 1991.
本文提出了一种重新表述的一般增长平衡方法，用于估计人口普查和登记的完整性，以便即使在受到迁移影响的人群中也能适用。本文还讨论了一种新的拟合线程序，该程序可能对输入数据严重受到年龄误报影响的国家有用。该方法适用于两个时间点上都有来自人口普查或调查的年龄分布数据的国家。它紧密遵循 Brass 的原始提议，涉及调整特定年龄的“部分”出生率，以适应增长率和迁移率的干扰。除了校正死亡率外，该方法还可用于推断人口普查的相对完整性，并在某些条件下得出出生率的稳健估计。本文使用印度北方邦男性人口在 1981 年至 1991 年期间的示例说明了该方法的应用。
