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康涅狄格州分级驾驶员执照制度对青少年机动车事故率的影响。

Impact of Connecticut's graduated driver licensing system on teenage motor vehicle crash rates.

作者信息

Rogers Steven C, Bentley George C, Campbell Brendan, Borrup Kevin, Saleheen Hassan, Wang Zhu, Lapidus Garry

机构信息

Injury Prevention Center, Connecticut Children's Medical Center, University of Connecticut School of Medicine, Hartford, Connecticut 06106, USA.

出版信息

J Trauma. 2011 Nov;71(5 Suppl 2):S527-30. doi: 10.1097/TA.0b013e31823a4ba2.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

In response to high rates of teen motor vehicle crashes (MVCs) many states have enacted graduated driver licensing (GDL) systems. GDL delays full licensure and allows beginners to obtain experience under lower risk conditions. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the impact over the past 10 years to determine its effect on teen MVCs.

METHODS

Connecticut MVC data from 1999 to 2008 were analyzed. Percent change (1999 vs. 2008) in MVC rates per 10,000 registered drivers was calculated by age, gender, during the night restriction (11:00 pm and 5:00 am), and MVCs with passengers. Linear regression analysis estimated the decrease of MVC rates each year.

RESULTS

The MVC rate decreased by 40% for 16-year-old and 30% for 17-year-old drivers. In comparison, rates among 18-year-old, 19-year-old, 25- to 29-year-old, and 30- to 59-year-old drivers were reduced by 16%, 7%, 8%, and 11%, respectively. The MVC rate for 20- to 24-year-old drivers increased by 1%. During nighttime restricted driving times, MVC rates decreased by 54% among 16-year-old and 49% among 17-year-old drivers. The MVC rate with passengers decreased by 65% for 16-year-old and 53% for 17-year-old drivers. In comparison, rates of nighttime and with passenger MVCs among older drivers were significantly less.

CONCLUSIONS

Implementation of Connecticut's GDL system has resulted in significant reductions in MVC rates among novice drivers. This analysis provides a method for other states to examine the impact of their GDL system.

摘要

背景

为应对青少年机动车碰撞事故(MVC)的高发生率,许多州已颁布分级驾驶员执照(GDL)制度。GDL延缓了完全执照的获取,并允许新手在较低风险条件下积累经验。本研究的目的是评估过去10年的影响,以确定其对青少年MVC的作用。

方法

分析了康涅狄格州1999年至2008年的MVC数据。计算了每10000名注册驾驶员的MVC发生率按年龄、性别、夜间限制时段(晚上11点至凌晨5点)以及有乘客乘坐时的MVC的百分比变化(1999年与2008年相比)。线性回归分析估计了每年MVC发生率的下降情况。

结果

16岁驾驶员的MVC发生率下降了40%,17岁驾驶员下降了30%。相比之下,18岁、19岁、25至29岁以及30至59岁驾驶员的发生率分别下降了16%、7%、8%和11%。20至24岁驾驶员的MVC发生率上升了1%。在夜间限制驾驶时段,16岁驾驶员的MVC发生率下降了54%,17岁驾驶员下降了49%。有乘客乘坐时的MVC发生率,16岁驾驶员下降了65%,17岁驾驶员下降了53%。相比之下,年长驾驶员的夜间及有乘客乘坐时的MVC发生率显著更低。

结论

康涅狄格州GDL制度的实施已导致新手驾驶员的MVC发生率大幅降低。该分析为其他州检验其GDL制度的影响提供了一种方法。

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