Popul Stud (Camb). 1973 Mar;27(1):105-15. doi: 10.1080/00324728.1973.10410317.
Abstract One-half of the variation in Soviet fertility as measured by the child-woman ratio is attributable to the proportion of married women in the 20-24 age group. The familar sociological hypothesis of an inverse relation between human fertility and education also is fully substantiated with data for the 36 major ethnic groups in the U.S.S.R. The second and third best predicting variables fall into the two extreme age groups: (a) those 16 to 19 years of age with more than seven years of school completed and (b) those men and women aged 60 and over with the equivalent formal education. Results of this study support the modified hypothesis that complements previously publicized findings. It asserts that variations in fertility attributable to the traditionally religious values can be explained in terms of the age-specific marriage and educational differentials known to have existed in the past and still characteristic of the multi-national society in the Soviet Union.
摘要 用子女-妇女比来衡量的苏联生育率的一半变化归因于 20-24 岁年龄组中已婚妇女的比例。苏联 36 个主要民族群体的数据充分证实了人类生育率与教育之间存在反比关系的常见社会学假设。第二和第三个最佳预测变量属于两个极端年龄组:(a)16 至 19 岁,完成了超过七年的学业,以及(b)60 岁及以上的男性和女性,具有同等的正规教育。这项研究的结果支持了补充先前公布的发现的修正假设。它断言,归因于传统宗教价值观的生育率变化可以用过去存在的、并且在苏联多民族社会中仍然具有特征的特定年龄的婚姻和教育差异来解释。