University Medical Center Groningen, University of Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands.
Scand J Med Sci Sports. 2011 Dec;21(6):846-52. doi: 10.1111/j.1600-0838.2010.01104.x. Epub 2010 Mar 11.
Talent identification and development implicate recognizing youth players who will be successful in the future and guiding them to the top. A major determinant of this success is tactical skills. To identify possible key factors that help in predicting success over time, this study assesses the tactical skills of 105 elite youth soccer players who participated in a talent development program at an earlier stage of their sport career (mean age 17.8±0.9). These skills were related to their adult performance level, specifically whether they became professionals (n=52) or amateurs (n=53). Defenders, midfielders and attackers completed the Tactical Skills Inventory for Sports with scales for declarative and procedural knowledge in either attacking or defensive situations. A logistic regression analysis was performed to identify the tactical skills that contribute to professional performance level in adulthood. Positioning and deciding appeared to be the tactical skill that best predicts adult performance level (P<0.05). This is especially true for midfielders, with the correct classification of elite youth players in the range of 80%. For players scoring high on this skill, the odds ratios indicated a 6.60 times greater chance that a player became a professional than players scoring low (P<0.05).
人才识别和培养涉及到识别未来可能成功的青年球员，并引导他们走向巅峰。成功的一个主要决定因素是战术技能。为了确定可能有助于预测未来成功的关键因素，本研究评估了 105 名参加早期运动生涯人才发展计划的精英青年足球运动员的战术技能（平均年龄 17.8±0.9 岁）。这些技能与他们的成年表现水平相关，具体而言，他们是否成为职业球员（n=52）或业余球员（n=53）。防守者、中场球员和攻击者完成了用于体育的战术技能清单，包括在进攻或防守情况下的陈述性和程序性知识量表。进行逻辑回归分析以确定有助于成年专业表现水平的战术技能。定位和决策似乎是最能预测成年表现水平的战术技能（P<0.05）。对于中场球员来说尤其如此，精英青年球员的正确分类范围在 80%左右。对于在这项技能上得分较高的球员，优势比表明球员成为职业球员的可能性比得分较低的球员高 6.60 倍（P<0.05）。
