The Faculty of Veterinary Science, University of Sydney, Camden, Australia.
PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2011 Nov;5(11):e1391. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0001391. Epub 2011 Nov 22.
Dog bites in humans are a public health problem worldwide. The issues of increasing stray dog populations, rabies outbreaks, and the risk of dogs biting humans have been frequently reported by the media in Bhutan. This study aimed to estimate the bite incidence and identify the risk factors for dog bites in humans, and to estimate human deaths from rabies in rabies endemic south Bhutan.
A hospital-based questionnaire survey was conducted during 2009-2010 among dog bites victims who visited three hospitals in Bhutan for anti-rabies vaccine injection. Decision tree modeling was used to estimate human deaths from rabies following dog bite injuries in two rabies endemic areas of south Bhutan.
Three hundred and twenty four dog bite victims were interviewed. The annual incidence of dog bites differed between the hospital catchment areas: 869.8 (95% CI: 722.8-1022.5), 293.8 (240-358.2) and 284.8 (251.2-323) per 100,000 people in Gelephu, Phuentsholing and Thimphu, respectively. Males (62%) were more at risk than females (P<0.001). Children aged 5-9 years were bitten more than other age groups. The majority of victims (71%) were bitten by stray dogs. No direct fatal injury was reported. In two hospital areas (Gelephu and Phuentsholing) in south Bhutan the annual incidence of death from rabies was 3.14 (95% CI: 1.57-6.29) per 100,000 population. The decision tree model predicted an equivalent annual incidence of 4.67 (95% CI: 2.53-7.53) deaths/100,000 population at risk. In the absence of post exposure prophylaxis, the model predicted 19.24 (95% CI: 13.69-25.14) deaths/year in these two areas.
Increased educational awareness of people about the risk of dog bites and rabies is necessary, particularly for children in rabies endemic areas of Bhutan.
狗咬伤在全球范围内都是一个公共卫生问题。在不丹,媒体经常报道流浪狗数量增加、狂犬病爆发以及狗咬人的风险等问题。本研究旨在估计狗咬伤的发生率,并确定人被狗咬伤的风险因素,以及估计在不丹南部狂犬病流行地区因狂犬病导致的人类死亡人数。
2009-2010 年,在不丹三家医院对前来接种狂犬病疫苗的狗咬伤受害者进行了一项基于医院的问卷调查。决策树模型用于估计在不丹南部两个狂犬病流行地区,因狗咬伤受伤而导致的人类狂犬病死亡人数。
共采访了 324 名狗咬伤受害者。三个医院的狗咬伤年发生率不同:在盖莱普、彭措林和廷布,每 10 万人中的发生率分别为 869.8(95%CI:722.8-1022.5)、293.8(240-358.2)和 284.8(251.2-323)。男性(62%)比女性(P<0.001)面临更大的风险。5-9 岁的儿童比其他年龄组更容易被咬伤。大多数受害者(71%)被流浪狗咬伤。没有直接致命的伤害报告。在不丹南部的两个医院地区(盖莱普和彭措林),狂犬病导致的年死亡率为每 10 万人 3.14(95%CI:1.57-6.29)。决策树模型预测,在面临风险的 10 万人中,每年因狂犬病死亡的人数相当于 4.67(95%CI:2.53-7.53)。在没有暴露后预防的情况下,模型预测在这两个地区每年将有 19.24(95%CI:13.69-25.14)人死亡。
需要提高人们对狗咬伤和狂犬病风险的认识,特别是在不丹狂犬病流行地区的儿童。