Volakli Eleni A, Sdougka Maria, Drossou-Agakidou Vasiliki, Emporiadou Maria, Reizoglou Melpomeni, Giala Maria
Department of Pediatric Intensive Care, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Hippokratio General Hospital, Thessaloniki, Greece.
Pediatr Int. 2012 Apr;54(2):248-55. doi: 10.1111/j.1442-200X.2011.03545.x. Epub 2012 Mar 8.
The aim of the present study was to examine short-term and long-term mortality following discharge from the pediatric intensive care unit (PICU).
This was a prospective observational study. Data collected consisted of demographics, severity scores, procedures, treatment, need for and duration of mechanical ventilation (MV), length of PICU and hospital stay, and mortality at PICU and hospital discharge, at 3 and 6 months and at 1 and 2 years.
A total of 300 patients (196 boys and 104 girls), aged 54.26 ± 49.93 months, were included in the study. Median (interquartile range) Pediatric Risk of Mortality (PRISM III-24) score was 7 (3-11) and predicted mortality rate was 11.16%. MV rate was 67.3% (58.3% at admission) for 6.54 ± 14.15 days, and length of PICU and hospital stay was 8.85 ± 23.28 days and 20.69 ± 28.64 days, respectively. Mortality rate at discharge was 9.7% and cumulative mortality rate thereafter was 12.7%, 15.0%, 16.7%, 19.0%, and 19.0% at hospital discharge, 3 months, 6 months, 1 year and 2 years, respectively. Significant risk factors of PICU mortality were inotrope use, PRISM III-24 score >8, MV, arterial and central venous catheterization, nosocomial infection, complications, and cancer. Independent predictors of mortality at discharge were inotrope use and PRISM III-24 score, whereas predictors of mortality at 2 years were comorbidity and cancer.
A 2 year follow-up period seems sufficient for a comprehensive mortality analysis of PICU patients. Severity of critical illness is the key factor of short-term mortality, whereas comorbidity is the major determinant of long-term mortality.
本研究旨在调查儿科重症监护病房(PICU)出院后的短期和长期死亡率。
这是一项前瞻性观察性研究。收集的数据包括人口统计学信息、严重程度评分、操作、治疗、机械通气(MV)的需求及持续时间、PICU住院时间和医院住院时间,以及PICU出院时、医院出院时、3个月和6个月时、1年和2年时的死亡率。
本研究共纳入300例患者(196例男孩和104例女孩),年龄为54.26±49.93个月。儿童死亡风险(PRISM III-24)评分中位数(四分位间距)为7(3-11),预测死亡率为11.16%。MV使用率为67.3%(入院时为58.3%),持续时间为6.54±14.15天,PICU住院时间和医院住院时间分别为8.85±23.28天和20.69±28.64天。出院时死亡率为9.7%,此后的累积死亡率在医院出院时、3个月、6个月、1年和2年时分别为12.7%、15.0%、16.7%、19.0%和19.0%。PICU死亡的显著危险因素包括使用血管活性药物、PRISM III-24评分>8、MV、动脉和中心静脉置管、医院感染、并发症和癌症。出院时死亡的独立预测因素为使用血管活性药物和PRISM III-24评分,而2年时死亡的预测因素为合并症和癌症。
2年的随访期似乎足以对PICU患者进行全面的死亡率分析。危重病的严重程度是短期死亡率的关键因素,而合并症是长期死亡率的主要决定因素。