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肾衰竭和肝硬化:死亡率和预后的系统评价。

Renal failure and cirrhosis: a systematic review of mortality and prognosis.

机构信息

The Royal Free Sheila Sherlock Liver Centre and University Department of Surgery - University College London and Royal Free Hospital, London, UK.

出版信息

J Hepatol. 2012 Apr;56(4):810-8. doi: 10.1016/j.jhep.2011.10.016. Epub 2011 Dec 13.

Abstract

BACKGROUND & AIMS: To evaluate renal failure (RF) in cirrhosis to determine and quantify its prognostic significance.

METHODS

Studies were identified by MEDLINE, EMBASE, Cochrane, ISI Web of Science (1977-2010); search terms included renal failure, mortality, and cirrhosis. Included studies (n=74) reported >10 patients and mortality data (8088 patients). Mortality at 1, 3, and 12 months was evaluated with respect to Child-Pugh score, serum creatinine, ascites, ICU status or sepsis, prospective study design, and publication year. Pooled odds ratio (POR) for death was compared for RF vs. non-RF (5668 patients).

RESULTS

Overall median mortality for RF patients was 67%: 58% at 1 month and 63% (IQR 54-79) at 12 months. POR for death RF vs. non-RF patients was 7.6 (95%CI 5.4-10.8). Overall mortality before 2005 (1264 patients) was 74% and after 2005 (2833 patients) was 63% with a marked reduction only at 30 days (71% vs. 52%).

CONCLUSIONS

This study provides a measure of the increased risk of death in cirrhosis with renal failure. RF increases mortality 7-fold, with 50% of patients dying within one month. Preventative strategies for RF are needed.

摘要

背景与目的

评估肝硬化伴肾衰竭(RF)以确定和量化其预后意义。

方法

通过 MEDLINE、EMBASE、Cochrane、ISI Web of Science(1977-2010 年)进行文献检索,检索词包括肾衰竭、死亡率和肝硬化。纳入的研究(n=74)报告了>10 例患者和死亡率数据(8088 例患者)。根据 Child-Pugh 评分、血清肌酐、腹水、ICU 状态或感染、前瞻性研究设计和出版年份评估 1、3 和 12 个月的死亡率。RF 与非-RF(5668 例患者)患者的死亡合并比值比(POR)进行比较。

结果

RF 患者的总体中位死亡率为 67%:1 个月时为 58%,12 个月时为 63%(IQR 54-79)。RF 与非-RF 患者的死亡 POR 为 7.6(95%CI 5.4-10.8)。2005 年前(1264 例患者)的总体死亡率为 74%,2005 年后(2833 例患者)的死亡率为 63%,仅在 30 天时有明显下降(71% vs. 52%)。

结论

本研究提供了肝硬化伴肾衰竭患者死亡风险增加的衡量标准。RF 使死亡率增加了 7 倍,50%的患者在一个月内死亡。需要制定针对 RF 的预防策略。

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