Kaylen Maria T, Pridemore William Alex
Soc Sci Q. 2011;92(4):978-1001.
To study the association between social disorganization and youth violence rates in rural communities.
We employed rural Missouri counties (N = 106) as units of analysis, measured serious violent victimization data via hospital records, and the same measures of social disorganization as Osgood and Chambers (2000). Controlling for spatial autocorrelation, the negative binomial estimator was used to estimate the effects of social disorganization on youth violence rates.
Unlike Osgood and Chambers, we found only one of five social disorganization measures, the proportion of female-headed households, to be associated with rural youth violent victimization rates.
Although most research on social disorganization theory has been undertaken on urban areas, a highly cited Osgood and Chambers (2000) study appeared to extend the generalize ability of social disorganization as an explanation of the distribution of youth violence to rural areas. Our results suggest otherwise. We provide several methodological and theoretical reasons why it may be too early to draw strong conclusions about the generalize ability of social disorganization to crime rates in rural communities.
研究农村社区社会失序与青少年暴力犯罪率之间的关联。
我们将密苏里州的农村县（N = 106）作为分析单位，通过医院记录测量严重暴力受害数据，并采用与奥斯古德和钱伯斯（2000年）相同的社会失序测量方法。在控制空间自相关的情况下，使用负二项式估计器来估计社会失序对青少年暴力犯罪率的影响。
与奥斯古德和钱伯斯不同，我们发现五项社会失序测量指标中只有一项，即女性为户主的家庭比例，与农村青少年暴力受害率相关。
尽管大多数关于社会失序理论的研究是在城市地区进行的，但一篇被高度引用的奥斯古德和钱伯斯（2000年）的研究似乎将社会失序作为青少年暴力犯罪分布的一种解释推广到农村地区的能力。我们的结果却并非如此。我们提供了几个方法和理论上的原因，说明现在就对社会失序在农村社区犯罪率方面的推广能力得出强有力的结论可能为时过早。
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