Emergency and Critical Care Center, Kyushu University Hospital, Fukuoka, Japan.
Resuscitation. 2012 Jul;83(7):848-54. doi: 10.1016/j.resuscitation.2011.12.013. Epub 2012 Jan 4.
To examine whether early findings of the brain computed tomography (CT) evaluated by the modified Alberta stroke programme early CT (m-ASPECT) score is useful for determining the prognosis of post-cardiac arrest syndrome (PCAS) patients or not.
From 2003 through 2010, 149 consecutive PCAS patients: (1) with various aetiologies but neither from haemorrhagic stroke nor trauma, (2) who were 15 years old or older and (3) whose brain CT was available were admitted to our intensive care unit. Early findings on all of their CT images were rated with the m-ASPECT scoring system by three raters, and an inter-rater comparison was conducted. Next, the images within 24 h from arrest were collected from 133 patients (89 males, age 60.2±17.6 years), and a relation of the scores with outcome at day 30 of the patients was analysed.
According to the inter-rater comparison based on a linear regression analysis, agreement between the raters was good (correlation coefficient 0.76-0.88). A receiver operating curve analysis revealed that the m-ASPECT scores within 24 h were a good predictor of poor outcome (dead or vegetative state) with an area under the curve of 0.905. An m-ASPECT score ≤13 was 100% predictive of a poor outcome, with a negative predictive value of 0.57. The m-ASPECT score was the best predictor of poor outcome (odds ratio 45.62) among various factors including cause or duration of arrest.
The m-APSECT score evaluated within 24 h from arrest was found to be the most predictive factor for outcome at day 30.
探讨改良的阿尔伯塔卒中项目早期 CT 评分(m-ASPECT)能否用于预测心脏骤停后综合征(PCAS)患者的预后。
2003 年至 2010 年,我院重症监护病房收治了 149 例 PCAS 患者:(1)病因多样,但既不是出血性卒中也不是创伤性卒中;(2)年龄 15 岁或以上;(3)有脑 CT 资料。由 3 名评估者使用 m-ASPECT 评分系统对所有患者的 CT 早期表现进行评分,并进行组内一致性检验。然后,从 133 例患者(89 例男性,年龄 60.2±17.6 岁)的发病 24 h 内的 CT 图像中收集资料,分析评分与患者发病第 30 天结局的关系。
基于线性回归分析的组内一致性检验显示,评估者之间的一致性较好(相关系数 0.76-0.88)。受试者工作特征曲线分析显示,24 h 内的 m-ASPECT 评分是预后不良(死亡或植物状态)的良好预测指标,曲线下面积为 0.905。m-ASPECT 评分≤13 预测预后不良的准确率为 100%,阴性预测值为 0.57。m-ASPECT 评分是包括病因或停搏时间在内的各种因素中预测预后不良的最佳指标(优势比 45.62)。
发病 24 h 内的 m-ASPECT 评分是预测发病第 30 天结局的最具预测性的指标。