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俄罗斯切尔诺贝利事故应急工作人员队列中的白血病发病率。

Leukemia incidence in the Russian cohort of Chernobyl emergency workers.

作者信息

Ivanov V K, Tsyb A F, Khait S E, Kashcheev V V, Chekin S Yu, Maksioutov M A, Tumanov K A

机构信息

Federal State Institution Medical Radiological Research Center of the Ministry of Health and Social Development of the Russian Federation, Obninsk, Kaluga Region, Russia.

出版信息

Radiat Environ Biophys. 2012 May;51(2):143-9. doi: 10.1007/s00411-011-0400-y. Epub 2012 Jan 14.

Abstract

Of all potentially radiogenic cancers, leukemia, a type of cancer of the blood, has the highest risk attributable to ionizing radiation. Despite this, the quantitative estimation of radiation risk of a leukemia demands studying very large exposed cohorts, because of the very low level of this disease in unexposed populations and because of the tendency for its radiation risk to decrease with time. At present, the Japanese cohort of atomic bomb survivors is still the primary source of data that allows analysis of radiation-induced leukemia and the underlying dose-response relationship. The second large cohort that would allow to study radiation-induced leukemia is comprised of individuals who were exposed due to the accident of the Chernobyl nuclear power plant in 1986. The objective of the present study was to estimate radiation risks of leukemia incidence among the Russian cohort of Chernobyl emergency workers, for different time periods after the accident. Twenty-five years after the Chernobyl accident and based on the results of the present study, one can conclude that the radiation risk of leukemia incidence derived from the Russian cohort of Chernobyl emergency workers is similar to that derived from the cohort of atomic bomb survivors: The time-averaged excess relative risk per Gray (ERR Gy(-1)) equals 4.98 for the Russian cohort and 3.9 for the life span study (LSS) cohort; excess absolute risk decreases with time after exposure at an annual rate of 9% for the Russian cohort, and of 6.5% for the LSS cohort. Thus, the excess in risk of leukemia incidence in a population due to a single exposure is restricted in time after exposure by the period of about 15 years.

摘要

在所有潜在的辐射致癌性癌症中,白血病(一种血液癌症)因电离辐射导致的风险最高。尽管如此,由于未受辐射人群中白血病发病率极低,且其辐射风险有随时间降低的趋势,因此对白血病辐射风险进行定量评估需要研究非常大的受辐射队列。目前,日本原子弹爆炸幸存者队列仍是分析辐射诱发白血病及潜在剂量反应关系的主要数据来源。第二个可用于研究辐射诱发白血病的大型队列由1986年切尔诺贝利核电站事故受辐射者组成。本研究的目的是估算事故后不同时间段内,俄罗斯切尔诺贝利应急工作人员队列中白血病发病的辐射风险。切尔诺贝利事故过去25年后,基于本研究结果可以得出结论,俄罗斯切尔诺贝利应急工作人员队列中白血病发病的辐射风险与原子弹爆炸幸存者队列相似:俄罗斯队列每格雷(ERR Gy(-1))的时间平均超额相对风险为4.98,寿命研究(LSS)队列则为3.9;暴露后,俄罗斯队列的超额绝对风险以每年9%的速率下降,LSS队列则为6.5%。因此,人群因单次暴露导致的白血病发病风险超额在暴露后约15年的时间内受限。

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