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罗马尼亚1型人类免疫缺陷病毒F1亚型经肠外传播流行的系统动力学和系统地理学模式。

Phylodynamic and phylogeographic patterns of the HIV type 1 subtype F1 parenteral epidemic in Romania.

作者信息

Mbisa Jean L, Hué Stéphane, Buckton Andrew J, Myers Richard E, Duiculescu Dan, Ene Luminita, Oprea Cristiana, Tardei Gratiela, Rugina Sorin, Mardarescu Mariana, Floch Corinne, Notheis Gundula, Zöhrer Bettina, Cane Patricia A, Pillay Deenan

机构信息

Virus Reference Department, Microbiology Services, Health Protection Agency, London, United Kingdom.

出版信息

AIDS Res Hum Retroviruses. 2012 Sep;28(9):1161-6. doi: 10.1089/AID.2011.0390. Epub 2012 May 3.

Abstract

In the late 1980s an HIV-1 epidemic emerged in Romania that was dominated by subtype F1. The main route of infection is believed to be parenteral transmission in children. We sequenced partial pol coding regions of 70 subtype F1 samples from children and adolescents from the PENTA-EPPICC network of which 67 were from Romania. Phylogenetic reconstruction using the sequences and other publically available global subtype F sequences showed that 79% of Romanian F1 sequences formed a statistically robust monophyletic cluster. The monophyletic cluster was epidemiologically linked to parenteral transmission in children. Coalescent-based analysis dated the origins of the parenteral epidemic to 1983 [1981-1987; 95% HPD]. The analysis also shows that the epidemic's effective population size has remained fairly constant since the early 1990s suggesting limited onward spread of the virus within the population. Furthermore, phylogeographic analysis suggests that the root location of the parenteral epidemic was Bucharest.

摘要

20世纪80年代末,罗马尼亚出现了以F1亚型为主导的HIV-1疫情。主要感染途径据信是儿童中的非肠道传播。我们对来自PENTA-EPPICC网络的70份儿童和青少年F1亚型样本的部分pol编码区进行了测序,其中67份来自罗马尼亚。使用这些序列以及其他公开可得的全球F亚型序列进行系统发育重建显示,79%的罗马尼亚F1序列形成了一个具有统计学稳健性的单系簇。该单系簇在流行病学上与儿童的非肠道传播有关。基于溯祖的分析将非肠道疫情的起源追溯到1983年[1981 - 1987;95%最高后验密度区间]。分析还表明,自20世纪90年代初以来,该疫情的有效种群大小一直保持相当稳定,这表明病毒在人群中的进一步传播有限。此外,系统发育地理学分析表明,非肠道疫情的起源地是布加勒斯特。

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