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制裁和警察执法对驾驶员速度选择的影响。

The effect of sanctions and police enforcement on drivers' choice of speed.

机构信息

The Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Civil and Transport Engineering, Høgskoleringen 7, NO-7491 Trondheim, Norway.

出版信息

Accid Anal Prev. 2012 Mar;45:446-54. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2011.08.010. Epub 2011 Sep 28.

Abstract

A Stated Preference survey of speed choice on Norwegian rural roads with 80 km/h speed limit was made by the roadside in order to determine which factors most strongly influence this choice. The aim was to study deliberate speeding to identify any correlations between speed choice and (1) the drivers' perception of the level of police enforcement, (2) penalties for speeding and (3) the speed choice of the other drivers on the road. Drivers were asked about their perception of these variables before being presented to nine hypothetical situations for which they were asked about the most likely speed to choose. Speed measurements were conducted before the interview, but without informing respondents of it. A total of 408 interviews were made. Drivers made bad guesses when estimating the level of enforcement, but had more realistic views of the sanctions given for speeding, as well as the general speed levels. The largest speed reducing effects on individual speed choice were found by either making most other drivers on the road reduce their speed, or by substantially increasing enforcement. Stricter sanctions seem to affect the speed choice only marginally.

摘要

对挪威限速 80 公里/小时的农村道路上的速度选择进行了意愿调查,以便确定哪些因素对这种选择的影响最大。目的是研究故意超速行为,以确定速度选择与以下因素之间是否存在任何关联:(1)驾驶员对警察执法力度的感知;(2)超速罚款;(3)道路上其他驾驶员的速度选择。在向驾驶员展示九个假设情况之前,先询问他们对这些变量的看法,然后让他们回答最有可能选择的速度。在进行访谈之前进行了速度测量,但没有告知受访者。共进行了 408 次访谈。驾驶员在估计执法力度时做出了错误的猜测,但对超速罚款以及一般速度水平的看法更为现实。对个人速度选择影响最大的速度降低因素是使道路上的大多数其他驾驶员降低速度,或者大大增加执法力度。更严格的制裁似乎只对速度选择产生轻微影响。

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