Orthopaedic Research Center Amsterdam, Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Academic Medical Centre, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Clin Orthop Relat Res. 2012 Jul;470(7):2029-34. doi: 10.1007/s11999-012-2260-4.
The diagnosis of displacement in scaphoid fractures is notorious for poor interobserver reliability.
QUESTIONS/PURPOSES: We tested whether training can improve interobserver reliability and sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy for the diagnosis of scaphoid fracture displacement on radiographs and CT scans.
Sixty-four orthopaedic surgeons rated a set of radiographs and CT scans of 10 displaced and 10 nondisplaced scaphoid fractures for the presence of displacement, using a web-based rating application. Before rating, observers were randomized to a training group (34 observers) and a nontraining group (30 observers). The training group received an online training module before the rating session, and the nontraining group did not. Interobserver reliability for training and nontraining was assessed by Siegel's multirater kappa and the Z-test was used to test for significance.
There was a small, but significant difference in the interobserver reliability for displacement ratings in favor of the training group compared with the nontraining group. Ratings of radiographs and CT scans combined resulted in moderate agreement for both groups. The average sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy of diagnosing displacement of scaphoid fractures were, respectively, 83%, 85%, and 84% for the nontraining group and 87%, 86%, and 87% for the training group. Assuming a 5% prevalence of fracture displacement, the positive predictive value was 0.23 in the nontraining group and 0.25 in the training group. The negative predictive value was 0.99 in both groups.
Our results suggest training can improve interobserver reliability and sensitivity, specificity and accuracy for the diagnosis of scaphoid fracture displacement, but the improvements are slight. These findings are encouraging for future research regarding interobserver variation and how to reduce it further.
舟状骨骨折移位的诊断存在观察者间可靠性差的问题。
问题/目的:我们测试了培训是否可以提高观察者间对 X 线和 CT 扫描诊断舟状骨骨折移位的可靠性和灵敏度、特异性和准确性。
64 名骨科医生使用基于网络的评分应用程序,对 10 例移位和 10 例未移位的舟状骨骨折的 X 线片和 CT 扫描进行了评估,以判断是否存在移位。在评分之前,观察者被随机分为培训组(34 名观察者)和非培训组(30 名观察者)。培训组在评分前接受了在线培训模块,而非培训组没有接受。采用 Siegel 的多评分者κ评估培训和非培训的观察者间可靠性,并使用 Z 检验检验显著性。
与非培训组相比,培训组的观察者间在移位评分方面的可靠性有较小但显著的差异。X 线片和 CT 扫描联合评分的两组观察者之间的一致性为中度。非培训组诊断舟状骨骨折移位的平均灵敏度、特异性和准确性分别为 83%、85%和 84%,培训组分别为 87%、86%和 87%。在假设骨折移位患病率为 5%的情况下,非培训组的阳性预测值为 0.23,培训组为 0.25。两组的阴性预测值均为 0.99。
我们的结果表明,培训可以提高观察者间对舟状骨骨折移位的诊断可靠性和灵敏度、特异性和准确性,但改善程度较小。这些发现为进一步研究观察者间的差异以及如何进一步减少这种差异提供了令人鼓舞的结果。