National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences, Research Triangle Park, NC 27709, USA.
Am J Epidemiol. 2012 Apr 1;175(7):602-5. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwr495. Epub 2012 Feb 3.
Most diseases arise not purely through genetic abnormalities nor purely through environmental causes, but as "complex" conditions brought about by the combined effects of genetic susceptibility factors, nongenetic experiences and exposures, and bad luck. Finding simple models capable of both characterizing such joint effects and providing new insight into pathogenesis remains an ongoing challenge in etiologic epidemiology. Additive null models can capture certain pure forms of independent etiologic effects in studies of rare conditions and can be useful for predicting possible effects of interventions. The concept of exposure modification is here proposed as useful, particularly in thinking about biologic interactions between exposures and genetic variants. Openness to parsimonious joint models and the insights they can provide is key to advancing our understanding of etiology.
大多数疾病的发生并非纯粹由遗传异常或环境因素引起,而是由遗传易感性因素、非遗传经历和暴露以及运气不佳的综合作用引起的“复杂”情况。寻找既能描述这种联合效应,又能为发病机制提供新见解的简单模型,仍然是病因流行病学中的一个持续挑战。加性零模型可以在罕见疾病的研究中捕捉到某些纯粹形式的独立病因效应,并且对于预测干预措施的可能效果可能有用。本文提出了暴露修饰的概念,认为它特别有助于思考暴露和遗传变异之间的生物学相互作用。对简洁的联合模型及其所能提供的见解持开放态度是我们深入了解病因学的关键。