Sector of Infectious Diseases Epidemiology, Instituto de Microbiologia Professor Paulo Góes, Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
Braz J Infect Dis. 2012 Jan-Feb;16(1):34-7. doi: 10.1590/s1413-86702012000100006.
To compare epidemiological aspects of young (15 to 49 years old) and older (more than 50 years old) AIDS patients.
We analyzed 511,633 AIDS cases notified to the Brazilian Ministry of Health in the period of 1980-2008 looking at sex, age ranges, educational level and exposure category. Patients were divided into three age groups: under 15, from 15 to 49 and over 50 years old. Using a comparative approach, we analyzed data with regard to category of exposure, education (expressed in years of schooling), and sex ratio among younger (15-49) and older adults (over 50 years old). Time series data were log-transformed and normalized, and the temporal trend was evaluated.
AIDS incidence is increasing among people over 50 years old in Brazil, with those older than 50 being responsible for 9.64 % of AIDS cases. There was no significant difference between educational level and gender (p = 0.468), but there was a significant difference in exposure category with a lower proportion of injecting drug users amongst the older group.
Based on this analysis over the last 10 years, the percentage of AIDS cases has increased almost three times among people over 50 years old when compared with the 15-49 year-old group. Our findings suggest that public campaigns have to be specially targeted to the older segment of the population, aiming at heterosexual transmission.
比较年轻(15 至 49 岁)和老年(50 岁以上)艾滋病患者的流行病学特征。
我们分析了 1980 年至 2008 年期间向巴西卫生部报告的 511633 例艾滋病病例,观察了性别、年龄范围、教育程度和暴露类别。患者分为三个年龄组:15 岁以下、15 至 49 岁和 50 岁以上。采用对比方法,我们分析了暴露类别、教育程度(以受教育年限表示)以及年轻(15-49 岁)和老年(50 岁以上)成年人之间的性别比例等数据。时间序列数据进行了对数转换和归一化处理,并评估了时间趋势。
巴西 50 岁以上人群的艾滋病发病率正在上升,50 岁以上人群占艾滋病病例的 9.64%。教育程度和性别之间没有显著差异(p = 0.468),但暴露类别存在显著差异,老年组中注射吸毒者的比例较低。
根据过去 10 年的分析,与 15-49 岁年龄组相比,50 岁以上人群的艾滋病病例增加了近三倍。我们的研究结果表明,公共宣传活动必须特别针对老年人群体,针对异性传播。