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血小板计数/脾径比对肝硬化食管静脉曲张的诊断性能:荟萃分析。

Performance of platelet count/spleen diameter ratio for diagnosis of esophageal varices in cirrhosis: a meta-analysis.

机构信息

Department of Ultrasonography, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical College, Wenzhou, China.

出版信息

Dig Dis Sci. 2012 Jun;57(6):1672-81. doi: 10.1007/s10620-012-2058-y. Epub 2012 Feb 26.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Platelet count/spleen diameter ratio (PSR) is a non-invasive method for the assessment of esophageal varices (EV), developed as an alternative to endoscopy.

AIM

To assess the performance of PSR for diagnosis of EV using meta-analysis.

METHODS

PubMed, EMBASE, the Cochrane Library, ISI web of Knowledge, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, and article references were searched. We included studies using endoscopy as a reference standard, with the data necessary to calculate the true and false positive, true and false negative diagnostic results of PSR for EV. The quality of the studies was rated with the QUADAS tool. The hierarchical summary receiver operating characteristic (HSROC) was used to examine the PSR accuracy for the diagnosis of EV. Heterogeneity was explored using meta-regression. Clinical utility of PSR for EV was evaluated by a Fagan plot.

RESULTS

In 20 studies (n = 3,063), the HSROC of the PSR for EV was 0.95 at various thresholds. At the threshold of 909, the summary sensitivities and specificities were 0.92 (95% CI, 0.79-0.97) and 0.87 (95% CI, 0.76-0.93), respectively. The HSROC was also 0.95 at the threshold of 909. If PSR was below 909 for EV ("positive" result), the post-test probability (if pre-test probability was 50%) was 87%, while if PSR was at or over 909 ("negative" result), the post-test probability was only 9%. PSR also had a high accuracy in diagnosis of EV in patients with compensated cirrhosis.

CONCLUSIONS

PSR can identify EV in cirrhosis with a high accuracy. Application of this index may decrease the need for endoscopy among cirrhotic patients.

摘要

背景

血小板计数/脾脏直径比值(PSR)是一种用于评估食管静脉曲张(EV)的非侵入性方法,是内镜检查的替代方法。

目的

通过荟萃分析评估 PSR 诊断 EV 的性能。

方法

检索 PubMed、EMBASE、Cochrane 图书馆、ISI 网络知识、中国国家知识基础设施和文章参考文献。我们纳入了使用内镜检查作为参考标准的研究,并收集了必要的数据来计算 PSR 对 EV 的真阳性、假阳性、真阴性和假阴性诊断结果。使用 QUADAS 工具对研究质量进行评分。使用分层汇总受试者工作特征(HSROC)分析 PSR 对 EV 诊断的准确性。使用 meta 回归探索异质性。通过 Fagan 图评估 PSR 对 EV 的临床实用性。

结果

在 20 项研究(n = 3063)中,PSR 对 EV 的 HSROC 在各个阈值下为 0.95。在阈值为 909 时,汇总的敏感性和特异性分别为 0.92(95%CI,0.79-0.97)和 0.87(95%CI,0.76-0.93)。在阈值为 909 时,HSROC 也是 0.95。如果 PSR 为 EV 低于 909(“阳性”结果),则后验概率(如果预测试概率为 50%)为 87%,而如果 PSR 为 909 或更高(“阴性”结果),则后验概率仅为 9%。PSR 对代偿性肝硬化患者 EV 的诊断也具有很高的准确性。

结论

PSR 可以高度准确地识别肝硬化中的 EV。该指数的应用可能会减少肝硬化患者对内镜检查的需求。

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