Centre for Applied Health Economics, Griffith University, Brisbane, Australia.
Value Health. 2012 Mar-Apr;15(2):261-8. doi: 10.1016/j.jval.2011.10.009. Epub 2011 Dec 15.
Health-care costs for the treatment of skin cancers are disproportionately high in many white populations, yet they can be reduced through the promotion of sun-protective behaviors. We investigated the lifetime health costs and benefits of sunscreen promotion in the primary prevention of skin cancers, including melanoma.
A decision-analytic model with Markov chains was used to integrate data from a central community-based randomized controlled trial conducted in Australia and other epidemiological and published sources. Incremental cost per quality-adjusted life-year was the primary outcome. Extensive one-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed to test the uncertainty in the base findings with plausible variation to the model parameters.
Using a combined household and government perspective, the discounted incremental cost per quality-adjusted life-year gained from the sunscreen intervention was AU$40,890. Over the projected lifetime of the intervention cohort, this would prevent 33 melanomas, 168 cutaneous squamous-cell carcinomas, and 4 melanoma-deaths at a cost of approximately AU$808,000. The likelihood that the sunscreen intervention was cost-effective was 64% at a willingness-to-pay threshold of AU$50,000 per quality-adjusted life-year gained.
Subject to the best-available evidence depicted in our model, the active promotion of routine sunscreen use to white populations residing in sunny settings is likely to be a cost-effective investment for governments and consumers over the long term.
在许多白种人群体中,皮肤癌治疗的医疗保健费用过高,但通过促进防晒行为可以降低这些费用。我们研究了在皮肤癌(包括黑色素瘤)的初级预防中推广防晒霜的终身健康成本和收益。
使用具有马尔可夫链的决策分析模型,整合了澳大利亚进行的一项基于社区的随机对照试验以及其他流行病学和已发表的来源的数据。增量成本每质量调整生命年是主要结果。进行了广泛的单向和概率敏感性分析,以测试模型参数的合理变化对基础发现的不确定性。
从防晒霜干预措施中获得的每质量调整生命年的增量成本,从联合家庭和政府的角度来看,折扣后为 40890 澳元。在干预队列的预期寿命内,这将预防 33 例黑色素瘤、168 例皮肤鳞状细胞癌和 4 例黑色素瘤死亡,成本约为 808000 澳元。在愿意支付每质量调整生命年 50000 澳元的阈值下,防晒霜干预措施具有成本效益的可能性为 64%。
在我们的模型中所描绘的最佳现有证据的基础上,积极向居住在阳光充足环境中的白人推广常规使用防晒霜,从长期来看,对政府和消费者来说可能是一种具有成本效益的投资。