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预测急性肾损伤猫的预后因素和预后指数。

Prognostic factors and a prognostic index for cats with acute kidney injury.

机构信息

Department of Veterinary Medicine, National Chung Hsing University, Taichung 402, Taiwan.

出版信息

J Vet Intern Med. 2012 May-Jun;26(3):500-5. doi: 10.1111/j.1939-1676.2012.00920.x. Epub 2012 Apr 10.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

The clinical manifestations of acute kidney injury (AKI) range from mild to fatal in cats; however, prognosis factors have been rarely studied.

HYPOTHESIS/OBJECTIVES: To find the clinical factors significantly correlated with the outcome among cats with AKI and to develop a simple prognostic index.

ANIMALS

Seventy cats with AKI were recruited.

METHODS

Demographic and clinicopathological data obtained from 70 cats with AKI were retrospectively collected. Student's t-test or Mann-Whitney U-test and Pearson chi-square test or Fisher's exact were applied to determine the factors associated with survival in cats with AKI. Using logistic regression, the statistically significant factors associated with prognosis were identified and a new prediction model was generated.

RESULTS

The overall case fatality rate was 64% (45/70). The results showed that nonsurviving cats had significantly lower levels of PCV, WBC, RBC, LDH and albumin, a lower albumin/globulin ratio, lower blood glucose, and a reduced body temperature, as well as being older. Serum urea and creatinine concentrations were not statistically significant as prognostic factors, but a decrease in these 2 variables in 3 days was significantly related to a reduction in death. A summary prognostic index including body temperature and LDH and albumin concentrations had area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUROC) for predicting death of 0.86 (P < .05) and a cut-off value of 0.82, a sensitivity of 77% and a specificity of 90%.

CONCLUSIONS

The prognosis in cats with AKI is quite different from that found for human and dogs.

摘要

背景

猫的急性肾损伤(AKI)的临床表现从轻度到致命不等;然而,预后因素很少被研究。

假设/目的:寻找与 AKI 猫结局显著相关的临床因素,并制定一个简单的预后指数。

动物

70 只 AKI 猫被纳入。

方法

回顾性收集 70 只 AKI 猫的人口统计学和临床病理数据。应用学生 t 检验或曼-惠特尼 U 检验和皮尔逊卡方检验或 Fisher 确切检验来确定 AKI 猫生存相关的因素。使用逻辑回归,确定与预后相关的统计学显著因素,并生成一个新的预测模型。

结果

总的病死率为 64%(45/70)。结果表明,未存活的猫的 PCV、WBC、RBC、LDH 和白蛋白水平显著较低,白蛋白/球蛋白比值较低,血糖较低,体温较低,年龄较大。血清尿素和肌酐浓度不是预后的统计学显著因素,但这 2 个变量在 3 天内的降低与死亡率的降低显著相关。包括体温和 LDH 和白蛋白浓度的综合预后指数对预测死亡的受试者工作特征曲线(AUROC)为 0.86(P<.05),截断值为 0.82,灵敏度为 77%,特异性为 90%。

结论

AKI 猫的预后与人类和犬类的预后有很大不同。

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