Zhejiang University School of Medicine; Hangzhou Binjiang Hospital, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China.
Chin Med J (Engl). 2012 Feb;125(4):639-45.
Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) remains one of the leading causes of death from infectious diseases around the world. Most severe CAP patients are admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU), and receive intense treatment. The present study aimed to evaluate the role of the pneumonia severity index (PSI), CURB-65, and sepsis score in the management of hospitalized CAP patients and explore the effect of ICU treatment on prognosis of severe cases.
A total of 675 CAP patients hospitalized in the Second Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University School of Medicine were retrospectively investigated. The ability of different pneumonia severity scores to predict mortality was compared for effectiveness, while the risk factors associated with 30-day mortality rates and hospital length of stay (LOS) were evaluated. The effect of ICU treatment on the outcomes of severe CAP patients was also investigated.
All three scoring systems revealed that the mortality associated with the low-risk or intermediate-risk group was significantly lower than with the high-risk group. As the risk level increased, the frequency of ICU admission rose in tandem and LOS in the hospital was prolonged. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve in the prediction of mortality were 0.94, 0.91 and 0.89 for the PSI, CURB-65 and sepsis score, respectively. Compared with the corresponding control groups, the mortality was markedly increased in patients with a history of smoking, prior admission to ICU, respiratory failure, or co-morbidity of heart disease. The differences were also identified in LOS between control groups and patients with ICU treatment, heart, or cerebrovascular disease. Logistic regression analysis showed that age over 65 years, a history of smoking, and respiratory failure were closely related to mortality in the overall CAP cohort, whereas age, ICU admission, respiratory failure, and LOS at home between disease attack and hospital admission were identified as independent risk factors for mortality in the high-risk CAP sub-group. The 30-day mortality of patients who underwent ICU treatment on admission was also higher than for non-ICU treatment, but much lower than for those patients who took ICU treatment subsequent to the failure of non-ICU treatment.
Each severity score system, CURB-65, sepsis severity score and especially PSI, was capable of effectively predicting CAP mortality. Delayed ICU admission was related to higher mortality rates in severe CAP patients.
社区获得性肺炎(CAP)仍然是全球传染病导致死亡的主要原因之一。大多数重症 CAP 患者被收入重症监护病房(ICU)并接受强化治疗。本研究旨在评估肺炎严重指数(PSI)、CURB-65 和脓毒症评分在住院 CAP 患者管理中的作用,并探讨 ICU 治疗对重症病例预后的影响。
回顾性调查了浙江大学医学院第二附属医院收治的 675 例 CAP 患者。比较了不同肺炎严重程度评分对死亡率的预测能力,评估了与 30 天死亡率和住院时间(LOS)相关的危险因素。还研究了 ICU 治疗对重症 CAP 患者结局的影响。
所有三种评分系统均显示,低危或中危组的死亡率明显低于高危组。随着风险水平的升高,ICU 入院率和住院 LOS 呈同步升高。PSI、CURB-65 和脓毒症评分预测死亡率的受试者工作特征曲线下面积分别为 0.94、0.91 和 0.89。与相应对照组相比,有吸烟史、既往 ICU 入院、呼吸衰竭或合并心脏病的患者死亡率明显升高。在 LOS 方面,对照组与 ICU 治疗组、心脏病或脑血管病患者之间也存在差异。Logistic 回归分析显示,年龄大于 65 岁、吸烟史和呼吸衰竭与 CAP 患者总体死亡率密切相关,而年龄、ICU 入院、呼吸衰竭和发病至入院期间的家庭 LOS 是高危 CAP 亚组死亡率的独立危险因素。入院时接受 ICU 治疗的患者 30 天死亡率也高于非 ICU 治疗组,但明显低于非 ICU 治疗失败后接受 ICU 治疗的患者。
每种严重程度评分系统,CURB-65、脓毒症严重程度评分,尤其是 PSI,均能有效预测 CAP 死亡率。重症 CAP 患者 ICU 延迟入院与死亡率升高有关。