NYU-Multiple Sclerosis Care Center, Department of Neurology, NYU School of Medicine, New York, NY 10003, USA.
J Neurol Sci. 2012 Jul 15;318(1-2):94-9. doi: 10.1016/j.jns.2012.03.017. Epub 2012 Apr 14.
To analyze time-trends in age at disability milestones among MS patients who were enrolled into the MSBase International Registry during 1996-2010 period.
We used linear regression to describe the relationship between mean age at major EDSS benchmarks and calendar time. We then assessed time-trend in age at initial EDSS rating with a three level linear growth model specifying that patients were nested within each of 20 participating countries. The model estimated the average of time-trends in mean age at initial clinical assessment within each country while controlling for patients' EDSS and sex in each country. Analyses were repeated in subsamples of patients diagnosed according to Poser or McDonald criteria.
The MSBase Registry contained data on 11,108 MS patients enrolled between 1996 and 2010 who fulfilled our inclusion criteria. During the 1996-2010 period, enrollment age for patients with EDSS 4/4.5 increased by 7.9 years, from 43 to 51 years (p<0.001), and for EDSS 6/6.5 - by 4.9 years, from 48 to 53 year (p<0.001). These trends were consistent across 20 investigator countries and were observed in Poser-diagnosed as well as McDonald-diagnosed patient subsets.
The more recent MSBase enrollees in each of the mild-to-moderate disability strata were significantly older than earlier enrollees. Possible explanations for this phenomenon are discussed.
分析 1996 年至 2010 年间入组 MSBase 国际注册中心的 MS 患者残疾里程碑年龄的时间趋势。
我们使用线性回归来描述主要 EDSS 基准的平均年龄与日历时间之间的关系。然后,我们使用三级线性增长模型评估初始 EDSS 评分年龄的时间趋势,该模型规定患者嵌套在每个 20 个参与国家中。该模型估计了每个国家内初始临床评估的平均年龄的时间趋势,同时控制了每个国家中患者的 EDSS 和性别。在根据 Poser 或 McDonald 标准诊断的患者子样本中重复了分析。
MSBase 注册中心包含了 1996 年至 2010 年间入组的 11108 名符合我们纳入标准的 MS 患者的数据。在 1996 年至 2010 年期间,EDSS 4/4.5 的患者的入组年龄增加了 7.9 岁,从 43 岁增加到 51 岁(p<0.001),而 EDSS 6/6.5 的患者的入组年龄增加了 4.9 岁,从 48 岁增加到 53 岁(p<0.001)。这些趋势在 20 个调查员国家中是一致的,并且在 Poser 诊断和 McDonald 诊断的患者子集中也观察到了这些趋势。
在每个轻度至中度残疾分层中,最近入组的 MSBase 患者明显比早期入组的患者年龄更大。对这种现象的可能解释进行了讨论。