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亚临床甲状腺功能亢进与心血管事件和全因死亡率的风险:队列研究的更新荟萃分析。

Subclinical hyperthyroidism and the risk of cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality: an updated meta-analysis of cohort studies.

机构信息

Department of Endocrinology, Provincial Hospital Affiliated to Shandong University, 324 Jing 5 Road, Jinan 250021, People's Republic of China.

出版信息

Eur J Endocrinol. 2012 Jul;167(1):75-84. doi: 10.1530/EJE-12-0015. Epub 2012 Apr 24.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

Whether subclinical hyperthyroidism (SCH) results in poor prognosis remains controversial. Our aim was to evaluate the association between SCH and the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD), cardiovascular mortality, and all-cause mortality by conducting a meta-analysis of cohort studies.

METHODS

The PubMed and Embase databases were searched through November 2011 to identify studies that met pre-stated inclusion criteria. Relevant information for analysis was extracted. Either a fixed or a random effects model was used to calculate the overall combined risk estimates.

RESULTS

Seventeen cohort studies were included in this meta-analysis. The overall combined relative risks for individuals with SCH compared with the reference group were 1.19 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.10 to 1.28) for CVD, 1.52 (95% CI: 1.08 to 2.13) for cardiovascular mortality, and 1.25 (95% CI: 1.00 to 1.55) for all-cause mortality. Subgroup analysis by sample source (community or convenience sample) showed that the significant association for cardiovascular and all-cause mortality only existed when pooling studies from convenience samples. Heterogeneity was observed when pooling studies on the association between SCH and cardiovascular and all-cause mortality. Sensitivity analysis showed omission of each individual study did not significantly change the pooled effects. No evidence of publication bias was observed.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings demonstrated that SCH significantly increased the risk of CVD for the general population and the risk of cardiovascular and all-cause mortality for the individuals with other morbidities.

摘要

目的

亚临床甲状腺功能亢进症(SCH)是否导致不良预后仍存在争议。我们旨在通过对队列研究进行荟萃分析来评估 SCH 与心血管疾病(CVD)、心血管死亡率和全因死亡率的风险之间的关系。

方法

通过 2011 年 11 月前的 PubMed 和 Embase 数据库检索符合预先规定纳入标准的研究。提取用于分析的相关信息。使用固定或随机效应模型计算总体合并风险估计值。

结果

本荟萃分析共纳入 17 项队列研究。与参照组相比,SCH 个体的总体合并相对风险分别为 CVD(1.19,95%可信区间[CI]:1.10 至 1.28)、心血管死亡率(1.52,95%CI:1.08 至 2.13)和全因死亡率(1.25,95%CI:1.00 至 1.55)。按样本来源(社区或便利样本)进行的亚组分析表明,仅当合并便利样本研究时,心血管和全因死亡率的显著相关性才存在。在合并 SCH 与心血管和全因死亡率之间的关联研究中观察到了异质性。敏感性分析表明,排除每项个体研究均不会显著改变合并效应。未观察到发表偏倚的证据。

结论

我们的研究结果表明,SCH 显著增加了一般人群 CVD 的风险,以及患有其他疾病个体的心血管和全因死亡率的风险。

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