Multiple Sclerosis Centre, Department of Clinical Neurology, Neurological Institute C. Mondino, Via Mondino 2, 27100 Pavia, Italy
Department of Computer Engineering and Systems Science, University of Pavia, Italy.
Mult Scler. 2016 Nov;22(13):1732-1740. doi: 10.1177/1352458512445941. Epub 2012 May 31.
Few studies have analysed long-term effects of immunomodulatory disease modifying drugs (DMDs).
Assessment of the efficacy of DMDs on long-term evolution of multiple sclerosis, using a Bayesian approach to overcome methodological problems related to open-label studies.
MS patients from three different Italian multiple sclerosis centres were divided into subgroups according to the presence of treatment in their disease history before the endpoint, which was represented by secondary progression. Patients were stratified on the basis of the risk score BREMS (Bayesian risk estimate for multiple sclerosis), which is able to predict the unfavourable long-term evolution of MS at an early stage.
We analysed data from 1178 patients with a relapsing form of multiple sclerosis at onset and at least 10 years of disease duration, treated (59%) or untreated with DMDs. The risk of secondary progression was significantly lower in patients treated with DMDs, regardless of the initial prognosis predicted by BREMS.
DMDs significantly reduce the risk of multiple sclerosis progression both in patients with initial high-risk and patients with initial low-risk. These findings reinforce the role of DMDs in modifying the natural course of the disease, suggesting that they have a positive effect not only on the inflammatory but also on the neurodegenerative process. The study also confirms the capability of the BREMS score to predict MS evolution.
很少有研究分析免疫调节疾病修正药物(DMD)的长期疗效。
采用贝叶斯方法评估 DMD 对多发性硬化症长期演变的疗效,以克服与开放标签研究相关的方法学问题。
根据终点(表现为继发性进展)前疾病史中治疗的存在情况,将来自三个不同意大利多发性硬化症中心的 MS 患者分为亚组。患者根据 BREMS(多发性硬化症贝叶斯风险估计)风险评分进行分层,该评分能够在早期预测 MS 的不利长期演变。
我们分析了 1178 例发病时有复发形式的多发性硬化症且病程至少 10 年的患者的数据,这些患者接受(59%)或未接受 DMD 治疗。无论 BREMS 预测的初始预后如何,接受 DMD 治疗的患者发生继发性进展的风险均显著降低。
DMD 可显著降低初始高风险和初始低风险患者多发性硬化症进展的风险。这些发现进一步证实了 DMD 在改变疾病自然病程中的作用,表明它们不仅对炎症过程,而且对神经退行性过程都有积极影响。该研究还证实了 BREMS 评分预测 MS 演变的能力。