Fundación Razón Pública, Bogotá, Colombia.
Subst Use Misuse. 2012 Jun-Jul;47(8-9):972-1004. doi: 10.3109/10826084.2012.663287.
This paper is inspired by two anomalies encountered in the study of the illegal drugs industry. First, despite the very high profits of coca/cocaine and poppy/opium/heroin production, most countries that can produce do not. Why, for example, does Colombia face much greater competition in the international coffee, banana, and other legal product markets than in cocaine? And second, though illegal drugs are clearly associated with violence, why is it that illegal drug trafficking organizations have been so much more violent in Colombia and Mexico than in the rest of the world? The answers to these questions cannot be found in factors external to Colombia (and Mexico). They require identifying the societal weaknesses of each country. To do so, the history of the illegal drugs industry is surveyed, a simple model of human behavior that stresses the conflict between formal (legal) and informal (socially accepted) norms as a source of the weaknesses that make societies vulnerable is formulated. The reasons why there is a wide gap between formal and informal norms in Colombia are explored and the effectiveness of anti-drug policies is considered to explain why they fail to achieve their posited goals. The essay ends with reflections and conclusion on the need for institutional change.
本文的灵感来源于非法毒品行业研究中遇到的两个异常现象。首先,尽管古柯/可卡因和罂粟/鸦片/海洛因生产的利润非常高,但大多数能够生产的国家却没有这样做。例如,为什么哥伦比亚在国际咖啡、香蕉和其他合法产品市场上的竞争要比可卡因大得多?其次,尽管非法毒品显然与暴力有关,但为什么非法毒品贩运组织在哥伦比亚和墨西哥比在世界其他地方更加暴力?这些问题的答案不能从哥伦比亚(和墨西哥)以外的因素中找到。它们需要确定每个国家的社会弱点。为此,本文调查了非法毒品行业的历史,提出了一个简单的人类行为模型,强调正式(法律)和非正式(社会认可)规范之间的冲突是造成社会脆弱性的根源。本文探讨了哥伦比亚正式和非正式规范之间存在巨大差距的原因,并考虑了禁毒政策的有效性,以解释它们为何未能实现既定目标。本文最后对制度变革的必要性进行了反思和总结。