Service d'Hépatologie, Hôpital Beaujon, APHP, University Paris-Diderot and INSERM CRB3, Clichy, France.
Hepatology. 2012 Dec;56(6):2039-50. doi: 10.1002/hep.25892. Epub 2012 Aug 8.
The ability to predict which patients are most likely to achieve a sustained virologic response (SVR) with peginterferon/ribavirin would be useful in optimizing treatment for hepatitis C virus (HCV). The objective of this large international noninterventional cohort study was to investigate the predictive value (PV) of a virologic response (VR) by weeks 2, 4, and 12 of treatment on SVR. Treatment-naive HCV monoinfected patients (N = 7,163) age ≥ 18 years were prescribed peginterferon/ribavirin at the discretion of the treating physician according to country-specific requirements in accordance with the local label. The main outcome measure was the PV of a VR (HCV RNA <50 IU/mL) by weeks 2, 4, and 12 of treatment for SVR24 (HCV RNA <50 IU/mL after 24 weeks of untreated follow-up) by HCV genotype. The overall SVR24 rate was 49.4% (3,541/7,163; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 48.3-50.6%). SVR24 rates in patients with an HCV RNA titer <50 IU/mL by weeks 2, 4, and 12, respectively, were 66.2% (95% CI: 60.4-71.7%), 68.4% (95% CI: 65.7-71.0%), and 60.3% (95% CI: 58.5-62.1%) among genotype 1 patients; 82.0% (95% CI: 76.8-86.5%), 76.3% (95% CI: 73.3-79.1%), and 74.2% (95% CI: 71.3-76.9%) among genotype 2 patients; 67.3% (95% CI: 61.1-73.1%), 67.3% (95% CI: 64.2-70.3%), and 63.8% (95% CI: 61.0-66.6%) among genotype 3 patients; and 59.4% (95% CI: 40.6-76.3%), 63.3% (95% CI: 54.3-71.6%), and 54.3% (95% CI: 47.5-60.9%) among genotype 4 patients. The absence of a VR by week 12 had the highest negative PV across all genotypes.
A VR by week 2 or 4 had the highest positive PV for SVR24 and differed according to HCV genotype.
研究治疗 2 周、4 周和 12 周时的病毒学应答(VR)对持续病毒学应答(SVR)的预测价值(PV)。
这是一项大型国际非干预性队列研究,纳入了年龄≥18 岁的初治 HCV 单一感染患者,按照各国的具体要求和当地的标签,由主治医生根据患者情况选择接受聚乙二醇干扰素/利巴韦林治疗。主要观察终点是根据 HCV 基因型,治疗 2 周、4 周和 12 周时 VR(HCV RNA<50IU/ml)对 SVR24(治疗 24 周后未治疗随访时 HCV RNA<50IU/ml)的 PV。
共有 7163 例患者纳入研究,其中 49.4%(3541/7163)达到 SVR24(95%CI:48.3%50.6%)。治疗 2 周、4 周和 12 周时 HCV RNA 分别<50IU/ml 的患者 SVR24 率分别为 66.2%(95%CI:60.4%71.7%)、68.4%(95%CI:65.7%71.0%)和 60.3%(95%CI:58.5%62.1%),基因型 1 患者的 SVR24 率分别为 60.3%(95%CI:66.2%71.7%)、68.4%(95%CI:65.7%71.0%)和 60.3%(95%CI:58.5%62.1%);基因型 2 患者分别为 82.0%(95%CI:76.8%86.5%)、76.3%(95%CI:73.3%79.1%)和 74.2%(95%CI:71.3%76.9%);基因型 3 患者分别为 67.3%(95%CI:61.1%73.1%)、67.3%(95%CI:64.2%70.3%)和 63.8%(95%CI:61.0%66.6%);基因型 4 患者分别为 59.4%(95%CI:40.6%76.3%)、63.3%(95%CI:54.3%71.6%)和 54.3%(95%CI:47.5%60.9%)。各基因型患者中,12 周时无 VR 的阴性预测值均最高。
治疗 2 周或 4 周时的 VR 对 SVR24 有最高的阳性预测值,且根据 HCV 基因型而不同。