State Key Laboratory of Biotherapy, West China Hospital, West China Medical School, Sichuan University, Chengdu, People's Republic of China.
Parasit Vectors. 2012 Jun 21;5:126. doi: 10.1186/1756-3305-5-126.
The snail Neotricula aperta transmits Mekong schistosomiasis in southern Laos and Cambodia, with about 1.5 million people at risk of infection. Plans are under consideration for at least 12 hydroelectric power dams on the lower Mekong river and much controversy surrounds predictions of their environmental impacts. Unfortunately, there are almost no ecological data (such as long-term population trend studies) available for N. aperta which could be used in impact assessment. Predictions currently assume that the impacts will be the same as those observed in Africa (i.e., a worsening of the schistosomiasis problem); however, marked ecological differences between the snails involved suggest that region specific models are required. The present study was performed as an initial step in providing data, which could be useful in the planning of water resource development in the Mekong. Snail population density records were analyzed for populations close to, and far downstream of, the Nam Theun 2 (NT2) project in Laos in order to detect any changes that might be attributable to impoundment.
The population immediately downstream of NT2 and that sampled 400 km downstream in Thailand both showed a long-term trend of slow growth from 1992 to 2005; however, both populations showed a marked decline in density between 2005 and 2011. The decline in Thailand was to a value significantly lower than that predicted by a linear mixed model for the data, whilst the population density close to NT2 fell to undetectable levels in 2011 from densities of over 5000 m(-2) in 2005. The NT2 dam began operation in 2010.
The impact of the NT2 dam on N. aperta population density could be more complex than first thought and may reflect the strict ecological requirements of this snail. There was no indication that responses of N. aperta populations to dam construction are similar to those observed with Bulinus and Schistosoma haematobium in Africa, for example. In view of the present findings, more ecological data (in particular population density monitoring and surveillance for new habitats) are urgently required in order to understand properly the likely impacts of water resource development on Mekong schistosomiasis.
蜗牛 N. aperta 在老挝和柬埔寨南部传播湄公河血吸虫病,约有 150 万人面临感染风险。目前正在考虑在湄公河下游至少建造 12 座水力发电大坝,这些大坝的环境影响预测引起了广泛争议。不幸的是,几乎没有可供评估影响的生态数据(例如长期种群趋势研究)。目前的预测假设,影响将与在非洲观察到的相同(即血吸虫病问题恶化);然而,所涉及的蜗牛之间存在明显的生态差异,表明需要针对特定地区的模型。本研究旨在提供数据,作为在湄公河水资源开发规划中提供有用数据的初步步骤。分析了靠近老挝 Nam Theun 2(NT2)项目和远在下游的泰国的蜗牛种群密度记录,以检测可能归因于蓄水的任何变化。
NT2 下游的种群和在泰国下游 400 公里处采样的种群在 1992 年至 2005 年间均表现出缓慢增长的长期趋势;然而,这两个种群在 2005 年至 2011 年间的密度均显著下降。泰国的下降幅度明显低于线性混合模型对数据的预测值,而靠近 NT2 的种群密度从 2005 年的 5000 多个/平方米以上降至 2011 年的无法检测水平。NT2 大坝于 2010 年开始运营。
NT2 大坝对 N. aperta 种群密度的影响可能比最初想象的更为复杂,这可能反映了这种蜗牛的严格生态要求。没有迹象表明 N. aperta 种群对大坝建设的反应与在非洲观察到的 Bulinus 和 Schistosoma haematobium 的反应相似,例如。鉴于目前的发现,为了正确理解水资源开发对湄公河血吸虫病的可能影响,迫切需要更多的生态数据(特别是种群密度监测和对新栖息地的监测)。