Oxford Institute of Population Ageing, UK.
Perspect Public Health. 2012 Jul;132(4):171-7. doi: 10.1177/1757913912444805.
The implications of the imminent surge in population ageing for the work of health care services in high-income countries remain unclear. It is widely expected, however, that the prevention and management of chronic disease will increasingly dominate their workload, and that this is likely to require a major shift in the way that care is delivered. This paper argues that the central contribution of health care services to a healthy ageing strategy is to drive improvements in the prevention and management of chronic disease, and it explores some of the implications of this view in the light of evidence mainly from the UK.
人口老龄化即将激增对高收入国家医疗保健服务工作的影响尚不清楚。然而,人们普遍预计,慢性病的预防和管理将越来越多地占据他们的工作量,这可能需要在提供护理的方式上进行重大转变。本文认为,医疗保健服务对健康老龄化战略的核心贡献是推动慢性病的预防和管理的改善,并根据主要来自英国的证据探讨了这一观点的一些含义。