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TOPSIS 法在水质评价中的敏感性分析:I. 对参数权重的敏感性。

Sensitivity analysis of TOPSIS method in water quality assessment: I. Sensitivity to the parameter weights.

机构信息

School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Chang'an University, No. 126 Yanta Road, Xi'an, 710054, Shaanxi, People's Republic of China.

出版信息

Environ Monit Assess. 2013 Mar;185(3):2453-61. doi: 10.1007/s10661-012-2723-9. Epub 2012 Jul 3.

Abstract

Sensitivity analysis is becoming increasingly widespread in many fields of engineering and sciences and has become a necessary step to verify the feasibility and reliability of a model or a method. The sensitivity of the Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) method in water quality assessment mainly includes sensitivity to the parameter weights and sensitivity to the index input data. In the present study, the sensitivity of TOPSIS to the parameter weights was discussed in detail. The present study assumed the original parameter weights to be equal to each other, and then each weight was changed separately to see how the assessment results would be affected. Fourteen schemes were designed to investigate the sensitivity to the variation of each weight. The variation ranges that keep the assessment results unchangeable were also derived theoretically. The results show that the final assessment results will change when the weights increase or decrease by ±20 to ±50 %. The feedback of different samples to the variation of a given weight is different, and the feedback of a given sample to the variation of different weights is also different. The final assessment results can keep relatively stable when a given weight is disturbed as long as the initial variation ratios meet one of the eight derived requirements.

摘要

敏感性分析在工程和科学的许多领域中越来越广泛,已成为验证模型或方法可行性和可靠性的必要步骤。水质评估中理想解逼近排序法(TOPSIS)的敏感性主要包括对参数权重的敏感性和对指标输入数据的敏感性。本研究详细讨论了 TOPSIS 对参数权重的敏感性。本研究假设原始参数权重相等,然后分别改变每个权重,以观察评估结果会受到怎样的影响。设计了 14 种方案来研究对每个权重变化的敏感性。还从理论上推导出了保持评估结果不变的权重变化范围。结果表明,当权重增加或减少 20%到 50%时,最终评估结果将发生变化。不同样本对给定权重变化的反馈是不同的,给定样本对不同权重变化的反馈也是不同的。只要给定权重的初始变化比例满足推导的八个要求之一,最终评估结果就可以保持相对稳定。

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