Wang Zhen-Hua, Gao Qin-Yan, Fang Jing-Yuan
Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Shanghai Jiao-Tong University School of Medicine Renji Hospital, Shanghai, China.
Asian Pac J Cancer Prev. 2012;13(5):1761-6. doi: 10.7314/apjcp.2012.13.5.1761.
The appropriate interval between negative colonoscopy screenings is uncertain, but the numbers of advanced neoplasms 10 years after a negative result are generally low. We aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of colorectal neoplasm screening and management based on repeat screening colonoscopy every 10 years or single colonoscopy, compared with no screening in the general population.
A state-transition Markov model simulated 100,000 individuals aged 50-80 years accepting repeat screening colonoscopy every 10 years or single colonoscopy, offered to every subject. Colorectal adenomas found during colonoscopy were removed by polypectomy, and the subjects were followed with surveillance every three years. For subjects with a normal result, colonoscopy was resumed within ten years in the repeat screening strategy. In single screening strategy, screening process was terminated. Direct costs such as screening tests, cancer treatment and costs of complications were included. Indirect costs were excluded from the model. The incremental cost- effectiveness ratio was used to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of the different screening strategies.
Assuming a first-time compliance rate of 90%, repeat screening colonoscopy and single colonoscopy can reduce the incidence of colorectal cancer by 65.8% and 67.2% respectively. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio for single colonoscopy (49 Renminbi Yuan [RMB]) was much lower than that for repeat screening colonoscopy (474 RMB). Single colonoscopy was a more cost-effective strategy, which was not sensitive to the compliance rate of colonoscopy and the cost of advanced colorectal cancer.
Single colonoscopy is suggested to be the more cost-effective strategy for screening and management of colorectal neoplasms and may be recommended in China clinical practice.
阴性结肠镜检查筛查之间的合适间隔尚不确定,但阴性结果10年后的晚期肿瘤数量通常较低。我们旨在评估在普通人群中,与不进行筛查相比,每10年重复进行筛查结肠镜检查或单次结肠镜检查的结直肠肿瘤筛查和管理的成本效益。
一个状态转换马尔可夫模型模拟了100,000名年龄在50 - 80岁之间的个体,为每个受试者提供每10年重复进行筛查结肠镜检查或单次结肠镜检查。结肠镜检查期间发现的结直肠腺瘤通过息肉切除术切除,受试者每三年进行一次随访监测。对于结果正常的受试者,在重复筛查策略中,结肠镜检查在十年内恢复。在单次筛查策略中,筛查过程终止。模型中纳入了筛查测试、癌症治疗和并发症费用等直接成本,排除了间接成本。增量成本效益比用于评估不同筛查策略的成本效益。
假设首次依从率为90%,重复筛查结肠镜检查和单次结肠镜检查分别可将结直肠癌发病率降低65.8%和67.2%。单次结肠镜检查的增量成本效益比(49元人民币)远低于重复筛查结肠镜检查的增量成本效益比(474元人民币)。单次结肠镜检查是一种更具成本效益的策略,对结肠镜检查的依从率和晚期结直肠癌的成本不敏感。
对于结直肠肿瘤的筛查和管理,单次结肠镜检查被认为是更具成本效益的策略,在中国临床实践中可能值得推荐。