Roy Michael M, Christenfeld Nicholas J S, Jones Meghan
Department of Psychology, Elizabethtown College, Elizabethtown, PA 17601, USA.
Q J Exp Psychol (Hove). 2013;66(1):121-37. doi: 10.1080/17470218.2012.699973. Epub 2012 Aug 29.
People are often wrong in estimating both how long tasks have taken in the past and how long they will take in the future. Bias could be due to factors such as task involvement, an individual's engagement or motivation in completing the task, or aspects of the task such as its relative duration or memory storage size associated with it. We examined time estimation bias in actors (likely to experience high levels of task involvement) and observers (likely to experience low levels of task involvement) for both predictions of and memory of task duration. Results suggest that bias appears to be due to memory storage size rather than to involvement with the task.
人们在估计过去任务所花费的时间以及未来任务将花费的时间时常常出错。偏差可能归因于诸如任务参与度、个体完成任务的投入程度或动机等因素，或者任务的某些方面，如任务的相对持续时间或与之相关的记忆存储量。我们研究了参与者（可能经历高任务参与度）和观察者（可能经历低任务参与度）在任务持续时间预测和记忆方面的时间估计偏差。结果表明，偏差似乎是由于记忆存储量而非任务参与度所致。
