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用于预测孤立性负荷后高血糖的稳态模型评估和血清高敏 C 反应蛋白的性能。

Performance of homeostasis model assessment and serum high-sensitivity C-reactive protein for prediction of isolated post-load hyperglycaemia.

机构信息

Department of Internal Medicine, National Taiwan University Hospital, Yun-Lin Branch, Yun-Lin, Taiwan.

出版信息

Diabet Med. 2013 Mar;30(3):318-25. doi: 10.1111/dme.12008.

DOI:10.1111/dme.12008
PMID:22946586
Abstract

AIMS

To evaluate whether homeostasis model assessment and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein improve the prediction of isolated post-load hyperglycaemia.

METHODS

The subjects were 1458 adults without self-reported diabetes recruited between 2006 and 2010. Isolated post-load hyperglycaemia was defined as fasting plasma glucose < 7 mmol/l and 2-h post-load plasma glucose ≥ 11.1 mmol/l. Risk scores of isolated post-load hyperglycaemia were constructed by multivariate logistic regression. An independent group (n = 154) was enrolled from 2010 to 2011 to validate the models' performance.

RESULTS

One hundred and twenty-three subjects (8.28%) were newly diagnosed as having diabetes mellitus. Among those with undiagnosed diabetes, 64 subjects (52%) had isolated post-load hyperglycaemia. Subjects with isolated post-load hyperglycaemia were older, more centrally obese and had higher blood pressure, HbA(1c), fasting plasma glucose, triglycerides, LDL cholesterol, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein and homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance and lower homeostasis model assessment of β-cell function than those without diabetes. The risk scores included age, gender, BMI, homeostasis model assessment, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein and HbA(1c). The full model had high sensitivity (84%) and specificity (87%) and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (0.91), with a cut-off point of 23.81; validation in an independent data set showed 88% sensitivity, 77% specificity and an area under curve of 0.89.

CONCLUSIONS

Over half of those with undiagnosed diabetes had isolated post-load hyperglycaemia. Homeostasis model assessment and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein are useful to identify subjects with isolated post-load hyperglycaemia, with improved performance over fasting plasma glucose or HbA(1c) alone.

摘要

目的

评估稳态模型评估和高敏 C 反应蛋白是否能提高对孤立性负荷后高血糖的预测能力。

方法

该研究纳入了 1458 名无糖尿病自述的成年人,他们于 2006 年至 2010 年间被招募。孤立性负荷后高血糖定义为空腹血糖<7mmol/L 且 2 小时负荷后血糖≥11.1mmol/L。采用多变量逻辑回归构建孤立性负荷后高血糖的风险评分。2010 年至 2011 年,一个独立的小组(n=154)被纳入以验证模型的性能。

结果

有 123 名受试者(8.28%)被新诊断为糖尿病。在未诊断出糖尿病的人群中,有 64 名受试者(52%)患有孤立性负荷后高血糖。与无糖尿病者相比,孤立性负荷后高血糖者年龄较大、中心性肥胖、血压较高、糖化血红蛋白(HbA1c)、空腹血糖、甘油三酯、低密度脂蛋白胆固醇、高敏 C 反应蛋白和胰岛素抵抗稳态模型评估值较高,而胰岛β细胞功能稳态模型评估值较低。风险评分包括年龄、性别、体重指数、稳态模型评估、高敏 C 反应蛋白和 HbA1c。全模型具有较高的敏感性(84%)和特异性(87%),受试者工作特征曲线下面积为 0.91,截断值为 23.81;在独立数据集的验证中,敏感性为 88%,特异性为 77%,曲线下面积为 0.89。

结论

超过一半的未诊断出糖尿病者患有孤立性负荷后高血糖。稳态模型评估和高敏 C 反应蛋白有助于识别孤立性负荷后高血糖者,其性能优于单独的空腹血糖或 HbA1c。

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