Epidemic Intelligence Service, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
Am J Epidemiol. 2012 Sep 15;176(6):519-26. doi: 10.1093/aje/kws137. Epub 2012 Sep 5.
In estimates of illness severity from the spring wave of the 2009 influenza A (H1N1) pandemic, reported case fatality proportions were less than 0.05%. In prior pandemics, subsequent waves of illness were associated with higher mortality. The authors evaluated the burden of the pandemic H1N1 (pH1N1) outbreak in metropolitan Atlanta, Georgia, in the fall of 2009, when increased influenza activity heralded the second wave of the pandemic in the United States. Using data from a community survey, existing surveillance systems, public health laboratories, and local hospitals, they estimated numbers of pH1N1-associated illnesses, emergency department (ED) visits, hospitalizations, intensive care unit (ICU) admissions, and deaths occurring in metropolitan Atlanta during the period August 16, 2009-September 26, 2009. The authors estimated 132,140 pediatric and 132,110 adult symptomatic cases of pH1N1 in metropolitan Atlanta during the investigation time frame. Among children, these cases were associated with 4,560 ED visits, 190 hospitalizations, 51 ICU admissions, and 4 deaths. Among adults, they were associated with 1,130 ED visits, 590 hospitalizations, 140 ICU admissions, and 63 deaths. The combined symptomatic case hospitalization proportion, case ICU admission proportion, and case fatality proportion were 0.281%, 0.069%, and 0.024%, respectively. Influenza burden can be estimated using existing data and local surveys. The increased severity reported for subsequent waves in past pandemics was not evident in this investigation. Nevertheless, the second pH1N1 pandemic wave led to substantial numbers of ED visits, hospitalizations, and deaths in metropolitan Atlanta.
在对 2009 年甲型 H1N1 流感春季疫情严重程度的估计中,报告的病死率比例低于 0.05%。在以往的大流行中,随后的疾病浪潮与更高的死亡率相关。作者评估了 2009 年秋季佐治亚州亚特兰大都市甲型 H1N1(pH1N1)大流行的负担,当时流感活动增加预示着美国大流行的第二波。他们利用社区调查、现有监测系统、公共卫生实验室和当地医院的数据,估计了 2009 年 8 月 16 日至 2009 年 9 月 26 日期间在亚特兰大都市发生的 pH1N1 相关疾病、急诊部(ED)就诊、住院、重症监护病房(ICU)入院和死亡人数。作者估计,在调查期间,亚特兰大都市有 132140 例儿科和 132110 例成人有症状的 pH1N1 病例。在儿童中,这些病例与 4560 次 ED 就诊、190 次住院、51 次 ICU 入院和 4 例死亡有关。在成人中,这些病例与 1130 次 ED 就诊、590 次住院、140 次 ICU 入院和 63 例死亡有关。综合症状病例住院比例、病例 ICU 入院比例和病例病死率分别为 0.281%、0.069%和 0.024%。可以使用现有数据和当地调查来估计流感负担。在过去的大流行中,后续浪潮报告的严重程度增加在本研究中并不明显。尽管如此,第二次 pH1N1 大流行浪潮还是导致了亚特兰大都市大量的 ED 就诊、住院和死亡。