Center for Pharmacoeconomics Research, School of Pharmacy, Faculty of Medicine, Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin, Hong Kong.
Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol. 2012 Oct;33(10):1024-30. doi: 10.1086/667735. Epub 2012 Aug 27.
To examine potential clinical outcomes and cost of active methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) surveillance with and without decolonization in neonatal intensive care units (NICUs) from the perspective of healthcare providers in Hong Kong.
Decision analysis modeling.
NICU.
Hypothetical cohort of patients admitted to an NICU.
We designed a decision tree to simulate potential outcomes of active MRSA surveillance with and without decolonization in patients admitted to an NICU. Outcome measures included total direct medical cost per patient, MRSA infection rate, and MRSA-associated mortality rate. Model inputs were derived from the literature. Sensitivity analyses evaluated the impact of uncertainty in all model variables.
In the base-case analysis, active surveillance plus decolonization showed a lower expected MRSA infection rate (0.911% vs. 1.759%), MRSA-associated mortality rate (0.223% vs. 0.431%), and total cost per patient (USD 47,294 vs. USD 48,031) compared with active surveillance alone. Sensitivity analyses showed that active surveillance plus decolonization cost less and had lower event rates if the incidence risk ratio of acquiring MRSA infections in carriers after decolonization was less than 0.997. In 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations, active surveillance plus decolonization was significantly less costly than active surveillance alone 99.9% of the time, and both the MRSA infection rate and the MRSA-associated mortality rate were significantly lower 99.9% of the time.
Active surveillance plus decolonization for patients admitted to NICUs appears to be cost saving and effective in reducing the MRSA infection rate and the MRSA-associated mortality rate if addition of decolonization to active surveillance reduces the risk of MRSA infection.
从香港医护人员的角度出发,考察新生儿重症监护病房(NICU)中积极进行耐甲氧西林金黄色葡萄球菌(MRSA)监测与去定植的潜在临床结局和成本。
决策分析模型。
NICU。
假设入住 NICU 的患者队列。
我们设计了一个决策树来模拟在 NICU 中对患者进行积极的 MRSA 监测与去定植的潜在结果。结果衡量指标包括每位患者的总直接医疗成本、MRSA 感染率和 MRSA 相关死亡率。模型输入来自文献。敏感性分析评估了所有模型变量不确定性的影响。
在基本分析中,与单独进行积极监测相比,积极监测加去定植显示出较低的预期 MRSA 感染率(0.911%比 1.759%)、MRSA 相关死亡率(0.223%比 0.431%)和每位患者的总成本(USD47,294 比 USD48,031)。敏感性分析表明,如果去定植后携带 MRSA 感染的患者的感染发生率风险比小于 0.997,那么积极监测加去定植的成本更低,且事件发生率更低。在 10000 次蒙特卡罗模拟中,积极监测加去定植的成本明显低于单独进行积极监测的成本,99.9%的时间里 MRSA 感染率和 MRSA 相关死亡率也明显更低。
如果在积极监测的基础上增加去定植可以降低 MRSA 感染的风险,那么对入住 NICU 的患者进行积极监测加去定植似乎可以节省成本,并有效降低 MRSA 感染率和 MRSA 相关死亡率。